Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN CHAMPIONSHIP - QUALIFICATION - THIRD STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 9 March 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Serbia		Norway

	1	X	2
	2.25	8.5	1.9	Watch
	2.1	8.75	1.95
	2.3	8	1.91
	2.28	8.4	1.92
	2.25	8.5	1.85
	2.32	8.1	1.92	Watch
	2.29	8.4	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.84)	8.38 ↓ (8.66)	1.9 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serbia
40.7%

Draw
11%

Norway
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

10.6%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

10.1%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serbia's form might have worsened.

Norway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norway's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serbia than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serbia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norway than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norway, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Serbia - Norway Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Serbia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Norway will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norway: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Serbia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 111-126.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serbia handball
Handball World Championship
23.01.23	Serbia - Netherlands	32:30 ✺
21.01.23	Serbia - Argentina	28:22 ✺
19.01.23	Norway - Serbia	31:28 ✺
17.01.23	Qatar - Serbia	24:34 ✺
15.01.23	Germany - Serbia	34:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL
- Norway handball
Handball World Championship
29.01.23	Germany - Norway	28:24 ✺
27.01.23	Norway - Hungary	33:25 ✺
25.01.23	Norway - Spain	34:35 OT ✺
23.01.23	Germany - Norway	26:28 ✺
21.01.23	Qatar - Norway	17:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Handball World Championship
19.01.23	Norway - Serbia	31:28
Friendly International Handball
05.01.20	Norway - Serbia	38:28
Handball European Championship
18.01.18	Serbia - Norway	27:32
Friendly International Handball
18.01.15	Norway - Serbia	25:28

Serbia - Norway: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide