Match Info

Asian Games - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	South Korea		Qatar

	1	X	2
	5.75	9.50	1.22
	3.8	9	1.37
	4.1	8.1	1.36
	4.34	10.2	1.32
	5.4	9.6	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (3.8)	9.28 ↓ (9.35)	1.29 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Korea
19.5%

Draw
9.8%

Qatar
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

9.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

9.4%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Korea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Qatar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Korea than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qatar than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

South Korea - Qatar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. South Korea (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 54.5, OT - over (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Korea won 2.

South Korea has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Qatar is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Qatar could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Qatar for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Qatar in today's match, at odds of 1.38.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, South Korea has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 329:404 (averaging 23.5:28.9 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Korea handball
Asian Games Handball
26.09.26	South Korea - China	32:26 ✺
25.09.26	Kazakhstan - South Korea	22:44 ✺
23.09.26	South Korea - Bahrain	21:30 ✺
22.09.26	Iran - South Korea	26:26 ✺
21.09.26	South Korea - Kuwait	26:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLTW
- Qatar handball
Asian Games Handball
26.09.26	Qatar - Iran	31:25 ✺
25.09.26	Qatar - Japan	37:28 ✺
21.09.26	China - Qatar	25:30 ✺
20.09.26	Hong Kong - Qatar	17:40
Friendly International Handball
15.08.26	Qatar - Sloga Doboj	39:26
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Asian Championship Handball
20.01.26	Qatar - South Korea	31:32
Olympic Games - Handball
28.10.23	Qatar - South Korea	32:38
22.10.23	South Korea - Qatar	25:39
Asian Games Handball
27.09.23	Qatar - South Korea	31:27
Asian Championship Handball
26.01.22	Qatar - South Korea	Qatar awarded
27.01.20	South Korea - Qatar	21:33
20.01.20	South Korea - Qatar	27:34

South Korea - Qatar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide