Match Info

Division de Honor Women - Round 12

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday


	Sporting La Rioja		Aula Valladolid

	1	X	2
	1.41	11	3.3
	1.41	8.12	3.73	Watch
	1.44	8	3.4
	1.46	9.3	3.42
	1.41	9.5	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)	9.18 ↑ (8.22)	3.44 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting La Rioja
63.7%

Draw
9.9%

Aula Valladolid
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

11%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

11.3%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting La Rioja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Aula Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting La Rioja than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aula Valladolid than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Sporting La Rioja - Aula Valladolid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:23

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Sporting La Rioja is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting La Rioja won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 118:135. (average 23.6:27).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting La Rioja won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 76:79. (average 25.3:26.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting La Rioja
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
12.11.25	Malaga Costa del Sol - Sporting La Rioja	22:21 ✺
07.11.25	Sporting La Rioja - Beti Onak	25:32 ✺
01.11.25	San Jose Obrero - Sporting La Rioja	20:21 ✺
29.10.25	Sporting La Rioja - Bera Bera	21:22 ✺
25.10.25	Elda Prestigia - Sporting La Rioja	22:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWLW
- Aula Valladolid
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
15.11.25	Aula Valladolid - BM Granollers	24:26 ✺
08.11.25	Lanzarote Zonzamas - Aula Valladolid	27:29 ✺
01.11.25	Aula Valladolid - Morvedre	34:26 ✺
29.10.25	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Aula Valladolid	32:21 ✺
25.10.25	Aula Valladolid - Rocasa Gran Canaria ACE	21:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
25.01.25	Sporting La Rioja - Aula Valladolid	18:22
31.08.24	Aula Valladolid - Sporting La Rioja	27:20
04.02.23	Aula Valladolid - Sporting La Rioja	29:22
Spanish Copa de la Reina Handball Women
28.01.23	Sporting La Rioja - Aula Valladolid	35:34
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
10.09.22	Sporting La Rioja - Aula Valladolid	23:23

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