Match Info

Superliga - Round 6

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Stal Mielec		Gwardia Opole

	1	X	2
	1.73	7.8	2.55
	2.13	6.91	2.11	Watch
	1.7	9.1	2.54
	1.71	7.5	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.77)	7.83 ↓ (8)	2.44 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Mielec
50.5%

Draw
11.7%

Gwardia Opole
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

11.5%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

11.4%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Gwardia Opole has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwardia Opole than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stal Mielec - Gwardia Opole Predictions

Users Predictions: Stal Mielec will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stal Mielec will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 3.

Stal Mielec has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gwardia Opole is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gwardia Opole may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stal Mielec will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 433:506. (average 27.1:31.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 263:274. (average 29.2:30.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPR Stal Mielec
Polish Superliga Handball
27.09.25	Wybrzeże Gdańsk - Stal Mielec	35:29 ✺
22.09.25	Stal Mielec - Kalisz	28:24 ✺
15.09.25	Stal Mielec - Chrobry Głogów	28:27 ✺
07.09.25	Legionowo - Stal Mielec	25:27 penalties ✺
02.09.25	Stal Mielec - Puławy	28:29 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWL
- Gwardia Opole
Polish Superliga Handball
29.09.25	Gwardia Opole - Legionowo	28:33 ✺
22.09.25	Puławy - Gwardia Opole	26:34 ✺
14.09.25	Gwardia Opole - Vive Kielce	19:33 ✺
08.09.25	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - Gwardia Opole	37:27 ✺
03.09.25	Gwardia Opole - Wisła Płock	27:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Superliga Handball
05.03.22	Stal Mielec - Gwardia Opole	32:28
09.10.21	Gwardia Opole - Stal Mielec	25:17
19.03.21	Gwardia Opole - Stal Mielec	41:24
17.11.20	Stal Mielec - Gwardia Opole	31:28
30.11.19	Stal Mielec - Gwardia Opole	34:26
10.03.19	Gwardia Opole - Stal Mielec	33:31
17.10.18	Stal Mielec - Gwardia Opole	28:40

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