Match Info

Superliga - Round 15

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Fight


	Stal Mielec		Legionowo

	1	X	2
	1.78	7.6	2.46
	1.93	6.86	2.34	Watch
	1.8	7.5	2.38
	1.85	8.5	2.34
	1.76	8	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.62)	7.69 ↓ (11.33)	2.38 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Mielec
49.9%

Draw
11.8%

Legionowo
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

7.6%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stal Mielec's form might have worsened.

Legionowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stal Mielec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legionowo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stal Mielec - Legionowo Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:26

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 2.

In recent matches, Stal Mielec has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Legionowo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Legionowo has had a series of away games.

Stal Mielec will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 269:290. (average 26.9:29).

Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 153:148. (average 30.6:29.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPR Stal Mielec
Polish Superliga Handball
07.12.25	Puławy - Stal Mielec	28:31 ✺
29.11.25	Vive Kielce - Stal Mielec	41:25 ✺
22.11.25	Stal Mielec - Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski	21:28 ✺
15.11.25	Wisła Płock - Stal Mielec	38:24 ✺
07.11.25	Stal Mielec - Zagłębie Lubin	27:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW
- KPR Legionowo
Polish Superliga Handball
04.12.25	Chrobry Głogów - Legionowo	31:27 ✺
28.11.25	Puławy - Legionowo	26:36 ✺
23.11.25	Legionowo - Vive Kielce	21:34 ✺
Polish Cup Handball
19.11.25	Kalisz - Legionowo	27:25 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
14.11.25	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - Legionowo	28:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Superliga Handball
07.09.25	Legionowo - Stal Mielec	25:27 penalties
Polish Central League Handball
21.05.23	Stal Mielec - Legionowo	29:33
28.01.23	Legionowo - Stal Mielec	28:24
Polish Superliga Handball
21.01.18	Legionowo - Stal Mielec	31:23
09.09.17	Stal Mielec - Legionowo	32:28
Club Friendly Hanbdall
19.08.17	Stal Mielec - Legionowo	38:25
Polish Superliga Handball
04.03.17	Legionowo - Stal Mielec	31:23

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