Match Info

Handbollsligan - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Handbollsligan Live


	Sävehof		Malmö

	1	X	2
	2	7.5	2.15
	1.97	8.2	2.23
	1.98	7	2.24	Watch
	1.91	7.5	2.2
	1.95	8.8	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.15)	7.8 ↑ (7.5)	2.2 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sävehof
46.6%

Draw
11.7%

Malmö
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

12.3%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

11.7%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sävehof has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sävehof than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sävehof that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malmö could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sävehof - Malmö Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Preview

Malmo leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sävehof won 2.

Sävehof has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Malmö is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sävehof won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 579:549. (average 29:27.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sävehof won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 293:261. (average 29.3:26.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	Savehof	2	2	0	0	60:50	4
6	Malmo	4	2	0	2	124:124	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Sävehof
Swedish Elitserien Handball
26.04.26	Malmö - Sävehof	31:29 ✺
20.04.26	Hammarby - Sävehof	33:38 ✺
16.04.26	Sävehof - Hammarby	36:38 OT ✺
13.04.26	Hammarby - Sävehof	30:29 ✺
07.04.26	Sävehof - Hammarby	28:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLLW
- HK Malmö
Swedish Elitserien Handball
26.04.26	Malmö - Sävehof	31:29 ✺
19.04.26	Malmö - Ystads IF	34:28 ✺
16.04.26	Ystads IF - Malmö	29:30 ✺
12.04.26	Malmö - Ystads IF	30:32 OT ✺
07.04.26	Ystads IF - Malmö	28:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Elitserien Handball
26.04.26	Malmö - Sävehof	31:29
28.02.26	Sävehof - Malmö	29:32
02.10.25	Malmö - Sävehof	37:32
EHF European League
06.09.25	Sävehof - Malmö	38:36
31.08.25	Malmö - Sävehof	24:33
Swedish Elitserien Handball
01.03.25	Malmö - Sävehof	31:26
29.09.24	Sävehof - Malmö	32:35

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