Match Info

Date: 4 April 2021, Sunday


	Sønderjysk Elite		Aarhus

	1	X	2
	1.3	10	5
	1.44	10	3.4
	1.35	10.5	4.2
	1.31	11	4.5
	1.3	10	4.33
	1.33	10.25	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.52)	10.29 ↑ (8.75)	4.35 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sønderjysk Elite
69.5%

Draw
9%

Aarhus
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

10.6%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

10.2%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sønderjysk Elite has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sønderjysk Elite's performance.

Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aarhus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sønderjysk Elite than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sønderjysk Elite that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarhus than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aarhus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sønderjysk Elite - Aarhus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:27

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Preview

Recent matches Sønderjysk Elite is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aarhus has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Sønderjysk Elite is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Sønderjysk Elite won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 354-346.

Including matches at home between the teams Sønderjysk Elite won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 167-162.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sønderjysk Elite
Danish Handbold Ligaen
27.03.21	Bjerringbro SV - Sønderjysk Elite	37:18 ✺
17.03.21	Sønderjysk Elite - GOG	32:28 ✺
07.03.21	Fredericia - Sønderjysk Elite	30:31 ✺
25.02.21	Sønderjysk Elite - Skanderborg	27:28 ✺
20.02.21	Sønderjysk Elite - Lemvig-Thyborøn	32:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLW
- Aarhus Handbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
23.03.21	Aarhus - Mors-Thy	23:27 ✺
17.03.21	Ribe-Esbjerg - Aarhus	27:24 ✺
07.03.21	Aarhus - Aalborg	22:26 ✺
26.02.21	KIF Kolding - Aarhus	32:27 ✺
20.02.21	Aarhus - Tvis Holstebro	24:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Handbold Ligaen
23.11.20	Aarhus - Sønderjysk Elite	25:26
07.02.20	Sønderjysk Elite - Aarhus	35:25
30.09.19	Aarhus - Sønderjysk Elite	25:28
09.12.18	Sønderjysk Elite - Aarhus	27:28
11.09.18	Aarhus - Sønderjysk Elite	27:26
16.12.17	Aarhus - Sønderjysk Elite	33:29
17.09.17	Sønderjysk Elite - Aarhus	27:31

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