Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Sport 1


	TBV Lemgo		HSV Hamburg

	1	X	2
	1.35	9.5	4.75
	1.37	9.00	3.80
	1.31	9.25	4.6
	1.3	8.5	4.82	Watch
	1.35	9.65	3.6
	1.43	10	3.88	Watch
	1.39	11	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.31)	9.56 ↓ (10)	4.2 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TBV Lemgo
68.3%

Draw
9.7%

HSV Hamburg
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

9.1%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2%

8.5%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TBV Lemgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

HSV Hamburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TBV Lemgo than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TBV Lemgo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HSV Hamburg than the current prediction. (-2%)

TBV Lemgo - HSV Hamburg Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

AH +3.5 - HC Hamburg (1.85) (votes: 90%) ⭐ Best Value.

Points O/U 63.5 - over (1.90) (votes: 83%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:30

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Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 13th and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lemgo won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Hamburg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Lemgo for this game.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Lemgo has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 551:538 (averaging 30.6:29.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lemgo against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 271:246 goals (averaging 33.9:30.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	Lemgo	7	4	0	3	216:220	8
15	Hamburg	7	1	1	5	220:229	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TBV Lemgo
German Bundesliga Handball
20.09.26	TBV Lemgo - Erlangen	28:33 ✺
10.09.26	TBV Lemgo - Flensburg-Handewitt	30:39 ✺
06.09.26	Bietigheim - TBV Lemgo	29:36 ✺
03.09.26	TBV Lemgo - HSG Wetzlar	31:27 ✺
27.08.26	THW Kiel - TBV Lemgo	35:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL
- HSV Hamburg
German Bundesliga Handball
27.09.26	HSV Hamburg - HSG Wetzlar	37:32 ✺
German DHB Pokal
22.09.26	Elbflorenz - HSV Hamburg	30:31 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
20.09.26	Flensburg-Handewitt - HSV Hamburg	37:34 ✺
13.09.26	HSV Hamburg - Frisch Auf Göppingen	31:32 ✺
05.09.26	Hannover-Burgdorf - HSV Hamburg	30:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
26.02.26	TBV Lemgo - HSV Hamburg	39:32
19.09.25	HSV Hamburg - TBV Lemgo	35:35
17.04.25	TBV Lemgo - HSV Hamburg	41:29
28.09.24	HSV Hamburg - TBV Lemgo	30:26
23.12.23	TBV Lemgo - HSV Hamburg	34:34
29.09.23	HSV Hamburg - TBV Lemgo	37:33
13.05.23	HSV Hamburg - TBV Lemgo	28:32

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