Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Sport 2


	THW Kiel		Flensburg-Handewitt

	1	X	2
	1.75	8.00	2.70
	1.75	8.00	2.40
	1.72	8.50	2.60
	1.72	7.4	2.65	Watch
	1.75	9.00	2.40
	1.67	10.20	2.81	Watch
	1.74	8.00	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.71)	8.44 ↑ (8.21)	2.61 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

THW Kiel
53.6%

Draw
11%

Flensburg-Handewitt
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

11.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

10.9%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Flensburg-Handewitt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flensburg-Handewitt than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

THW Kiel - Flensburg Handewitt Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Kiel will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Flensburg-Handewitt will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:33

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiel won 3.

Both teams arrive in flying form having triumphed in their latest fixtures.

Flensburg-Handewitt may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kiel has faced a series of away games on the road.

Kiel is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Kiel in today's match, at odds of 1.7.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kiel has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 585:572 (averaging 29.3:28.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kiel against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 324:290 goals (averaging 29.5:26.4 per game).

Outrights of German Bundesliga Handball for now

Flensburg-H.: 18.29% Kiel: 11.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Kiel	8	6	1	1	246:228	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- THW Kiel
German DHB Pokal
23.09.26	Hüttenberg - THW Kiel	23:41 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
18.09.26	Eisenach - THW Kiel	27:28 ✺
12.09.26	THW Kiel - Hannover-Burgdorf	29:26 ✺
06.09.26	Frisch Auf Göppingen - THW Kiel	31:32 ✺
03.09.26	Bietigheim - THW Kiel	28:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- SG Flensburg-Handewitt
German DHB Pokal
23.09.26	Lübeck-Schwartau - Flensburg-Handewitt	35:38 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
20.09.26	Flensburg-Handewitt - HSV Hamburg	37:34 ✺
10.09.26	TBV Lemgo - Flensburg-Handewitt	30:39 ✺
05.09.26	Flensburg-Handewitt - Erlangen	38:33 ✺
02.09.26	Bergischer - Flensburg-Handewitt	29:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
14.03.26	THW Kiel - Flensburg-Handewitt	37:33
EHF European League
10.03.26	THW Kiel - Flensburg-Handewitt	36:29
17.02.26	Flensburg-Handewitt - THW Kiel	30:32
German Bundesliga Handball
11.10.25	Flensburg-Handewitt - THW Kiel	36:34
22.03.25	Flensburg-Handewitt - THW Kiel	36:33
17.11.24	THW Kiel - Flensburg-Handewitt	33:37
23.03.24	THW Kiel - Flensburg-Handewitt	26:33

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