Match Info

Division 1 Women - Round 5

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday


	Toulon		Besançon

	1	X	2
	3.85	8.8	1.38
	2.98	6.95	1.64	Watch
	4.22	9.2	1.34
	3.8	9.5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (3.96)	8.61 ↓ (9.55)	1.43 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulon
24.8%

Draw
10.7%

Besançon
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

9.6%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

9.3%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Besançon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Besançon than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Besançon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Toulon - Besançon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 1.

Toulon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Besançon is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Toulon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Toulon has had a series of away games.

In this match, Besançon is considered a favorite.

We predict that Besançon will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 436:514. (average 22.9:27.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulon won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 234:270. (average 23.4:27).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulon Saint-Cyr
French Division 1 Handball Women
28.09.25	Paris 92 - Toulon	18:27 ✺
24.09.25	Dijon - Toulon	26:18 ✺
10.09.25	Toulon - Saint-Amand	25:25 ✺
03.09.25	Brest Bretagne - Toulon	33:18 ✺
Club Friendly Handball Women
19.08.25	BM Granollers - Toulon	28:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLTLW
- ES Besançon
EHF European League Women
05.10.25	Banik Most - Besançon	29:30 ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
01.10.25	Besançon - Saint-Amand	25:24 ✺
EHF European League Women
27.09.25	Besançon - Banik Most	34:28 ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
24.09.25	Stella St-Maur - Besançon	28:31 ✺
10.09.25	Besançon - Achenheim Truchtersheim	31:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Division 1 Handball Women
11.05.25	Toulon - Besançon	32:29
03.11.24	Besançon - Toulon	35:30
04.05.24	Besançon - Toulon	36:27
15.11.23	Toulon - Besançon	25:28
06.05.23	Besançon - Toulon	30:25
02.09.22	Toulon - Besançon	18:26
19.03.22	Toulon - Besançon	18:31

Toulon - Besançon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide