Match Info

Division 1 Women - Round 16

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Toulon		Dijon

	1	X	2
	3.8	8.4	1.39
	3.45	8.66	1.43	Watch
	3.75	10	1.33
	3.66	9.7	1.41
	3.5	8.6	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.5)	9.07 ↑ (8.6)	1.4 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulon
25.1%

Draw
10%

Dijon
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

10.7%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

10.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Toulon - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Toulon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dijon is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 511:566. (average 25.6:28.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 258:280. (average 25.8:28).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Dijon W	5	3	0	2	145:136	11
11	Toulon W	5	0	1	4	133:161	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulon Saint-Cyr
French Division 1 Handball Women
11.02.26	Metz - Toulon	34:26 ✺
06.02.26	Toulon - Sambre Avesnois	22:25 ✺
28.01.26	HAC Handball - Toulon	33:39 ✺
14.01.26	Toulon - Plan de Cuques	30:28 ✺
07.01.26	Stella St-Maur - Toulon	33:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWL
- Cercle Dijon Bourgogne
EHF European League Women
21.02.26	Viborg HK - Dijon	32:33 ✺
15.02.26	Dijon - Corona Brașov	26:30 ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
11.02.26	Brest Bretagne - Dijon	31:25 ✺
EHF European League Women
08.02.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Dijon	27:36 ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
03.02.26	Dijon - Nice	36:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Division 1 Handball Women
24.09.25	Dijon - Toulon	26:18
04.06.25	Toulon - Dijon	27:31
12.11.24	Dijon - Toulon	38:23
22.05.24	Toulon - Dijon	22:30
17.09.23	Dijon - Toulon	32:29
19.04.23	Dijon - Toulon	31:30
23.09.22	Toulon - Dijon	28:38

Toulon - Dijon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide