Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 17

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Tumba		Aranäs

	1	X	2
	2.38	7.4	1.91
	2.38	6.94	1.87	Watch
	2.25	7.5	1.83
	2.17	8.5	1.94
	2.25	8.5	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (3.13)	7.77 ↓ (8.5)	1.87 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tumba
39.8%

Draw
11.7%

Aranäs
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

10.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

10.8%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tumba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tumba's performance.

Aranäs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aranäs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tumba than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tumba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aranäs than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aranäs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tumba - Aranäs Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tumba will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tumba will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:31

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Preview

Tumba is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Aranäs has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aranäs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aranäs could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tumba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 88:91. (average 29.3:30.3).

Including home match between the teams, Tumba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:24.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Tumba	3	1	1	1	87:84	3
7	Aranas	4	1	1	2	128:130	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Tumba Handboll
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
14.01.26	Tyresö - Tumba	33:32 ✺
21.12.25	Tumba - H43 Lund	31:32 ✺
17.12.25	Tumba - Varberg	28:33 ✺
13.12.25	Redbergslids - Tumba	36:32 ✺
06.12.25	Tumba - Enköping	32:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- HK Aranäs
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
06.01.26	Redbergslids - Aranäs	33:27 ✺
30.12.25	Aranäs - Vinslovs	27:26 ✺
27.12.25	IFK Ystad - Aranäs	36:25 ✺
14.12.25	Aranäs - Lugi	31:38 ✺
09.12.25	Aranäs - Kroppskultur	36:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
17.09.25	Aranäs - Tumba	29:28
28.01.25	Aranäs - Tumba	38:34
01.12.24	Tumba - Aranäs	26:24

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