Match Info

SWEDEN: Allsvenskan

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Tumba		Kungälvs

	1	X	2
	1.61	8.4	2.8
	1.63	8.9	2.9	Watch
	1.6	8.5	2.8
	1.62	8.5	2.81
	1.61	8.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.54)	8.54 ↑ (8.5)	2.82 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tumba
56.8%

Draw
10.7%

Kungälvs
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

10.7%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

10.6%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tumba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Kungälvs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tumba than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kungälvs than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Tumba - Kungälvs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Tumba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tumba have a series of guest games.

Tumba will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tumba won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 86:97 (average 28.7:32.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Tumba won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21:33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Tumba Handboll
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
12.02.25	Lagan - Tumba	32:30 ✺
08.02.25	Anderstorps - Tumba	30:32 ✺
05.02.25	Tumba - Drott	29:35 ✺
28.01.25	Aranäs - Tumba	38:34 ✺
30.12.24	Varberg - Tumba	31:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Kungälvs HK
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
12.02.25	Kungälvs - IFK Ystad	25:29 ✺
08.02.25	Kungälvs - Aranäs	29:29 ✺
01.02.25	Tyresö - Kungälvs	25:28 ✺
18.01.25	Varberg - Kungälvs	27:26 ✺
29.12.24	VästeråsIrsta - Kungälvs	34:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
19.10.24	Kungälvs - Tumba	25:37
04.02.18	Tumba - Kungälvs	21:33
01.11.17	Kungälvs - Tumba	39:28

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