Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 15

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday


	Tumba		Varberg

	1	X	2
	3.2	9.8	1.5
	3.44	7.94	1.47	Watch
	3.25	8.5	1.44
	3.27	8.5	1.48
	3.2	9.5	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.8)	8.85 ↑ (7.5)	1.47 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tumba
27.8%

Draw
10.3%

Varberg
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

12%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

11.4%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tumba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Varberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varberg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tumba than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varberg than the current prediction. (-3%)

Tumba - Varberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tumba won 1.

Tumba has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Varberg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Varberg is considered a favorite.

We predict that Varberg will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tumba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 152:180. (average 25.3:30).

Including home matches between the teams, Tumba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 48:64. (average 24:32).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Tumba Handboll
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
13.12.25	Redbergslids - Tumba	36:32 ✺
06.12.25	Tumba - Enköping	32:28 ✺
26.11.25	Varberg - Tumba	22:26 ✺
23.11.25	Tumba - Skånela	25:30 ✺
15.11.25	IFK Ystad - Tumba	31:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWLT
- HK Varberg
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
10.12.25	Varberg - Drott	42:24 ✺
05.12.25	Vinslovs - Varberg	24:35 ✺
26.11.25	Varberg - Tumba	22:26 ✺
22.11.25	Enköping - Varberg	20:31 ✺
12.11.25	Varberg - H43 Lund	32:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
26.11.25	Varberg - Tumba	22:26
30.12.24	Varberg - Tumba	31:29
15.09.24	Tumba - Varberg	25:32
21.03.18	Varberg - Tumba	38:26
16.09.17	Tumba - Varberg	23:32
29.03.17	Varberg - Tumba	25:23

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