Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 5

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Tyresö		H43 Lund

	1	X	2
	2.10	7.00	2.00
	2.16	8.50	1.96
	2.07	8.70	2.02
	2.12	7.40	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (3.3)	7.9 ↓ (8.5)	2.01 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyresö
43.1%

Draw
11.5%

H43 Lund
45.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.1%

10.5%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

10.6%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyresö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tyresö's performance.

H43 Lund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and H43 Lund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyresö than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tyresö that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for H43 Lund than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that H43 Lund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tyresö - H43 Lund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:33

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Preview

Tyresö is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lund has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Lund for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Tyresö has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 72:74 (averaging 36:37 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tyresö against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 37:39 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Lund	6	4	1	1	188:180	9
13	Tyreso	5	1	0	4	149:160	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tyresö Handboll
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
11.10.26	Drott - Tyresö	30:23 ✺
03.10.26	Tyresö - Eskilstuna Guif	28:35 ✺
26.09.26	Redbergslids - Tyresö	30:36 ✺
Swedish Cup Handball
13.09.26	Tyresö - Kristianstad	31:37
08.09.26	Tyresö - Varberg	31:31
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLWLT
- H43 Lund HF
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
10.10.26	H43 Lund - Aranäs	34:30 ✺
03.10.26	Torslanda - H43 Lund	31:35 ✺
27.09.26	Huddinge - H43 Lund	30:37 ✺
18.09.26	H43 Lund - IFK Ystad	23:32 ✺
Swedish Cup Handball
28.08.26	Lugi - H43 Lund	27:25
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
31.01.26	Tyresö - H43 Lund	37:39
05.11.25	H43 Lund - Tyresö	35:35

Tyresö - H43 Lund