Match Info

Starligue - Round 21

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday


	USAM Nimes		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	6	11	1.27
	4.8	11	1.25	Watch
	5.6	9.89	1.23
	5	9.5	1.22
	5.03	11	1.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.29 ↑ (4.03)	10.48 ↑ (9)	1.25 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USAM Nimes
17.4%

Draw
8.8%

Paris Saint-Germain
73.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

10.2%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

10%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USAM Nimes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that USAM Nimes's form might have worsened.

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris Saint-Germain's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USAM Nimes than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for USAM Nimes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

USAM Nimes - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 - PSG (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:33

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nimes won 1.

Nimes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

PSG is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, PSG is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nimes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 17 matches, and goals 563:671. (average 28.2:33.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nimes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 268:308. (average 26.8:30.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	PSG	5	5	0	0	168:139	10
3	Nimes	5	4	0	1	161:159	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USAM Nimes
French Starligue Handball
13.03.26	Tremblay - USAM Nimes	36:29 ✺
08.03.26	USAM Nimes - Limoges	28:31 ✺
01.03.26	HBC Nantes - USAM Nimes	36:34 ✺
21.02.26	USAM Nimes - Saint-Raphael	33:27 ✺
14.02.26	USAM Nimes - Cesson Rennes Métropole	31:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWW
- Paris Saint-Germain Handball
French Starligue Handball
15.03.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Fenix Toulouse	39:21 ✺
EHF Champions League
11.03.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Magdeburg	34:26 ✺
French Starligue Handball
07.03.26	Montpellier HB - Paris Saint-Germain	30:32 ✺
EHF Champions League
04.03.26	Eurofarm Pelister - Paris Saint-Germain	34:34 ✺
French Starligue Handball
01.03.26	Dijon - Paris Saint-Germain	27:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
21.09.25	Paris Saint-Germain - USAM Nimes	31:29
25.05.25	USAM Nimes - Paris Saint-Germain	28:29
07.09.24	Paris Saint-Germain - USAM Nimes	36:33
19.05.24	Paris Saint-Germain - USAM Nimes	32:33
Coupe de France Handball
04.02.24	Paris Saint-Germain - USAM Nimes	30:22
French Starligue Handball
20.12.23	USAM Nimes - Paris Saint-Germain	24:34
26.02.23	Paris Saint-Germain - USAM Nimes	41:33

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