Match Info

Premijer liga - Round 10

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Umag		Gorica

	1	X	2
	2.43	10	1.69
	2.44	9.45	1.70	Watch
	2.61	10.7	1.64
	2.42	10	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.46)	10.04 ↑ (9.48)	1.67 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umag
36.6%

Draw
9%

Gorica
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

9.6%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

10.2%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umag than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umag won 0.

Recent performances by Umag have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gorica is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gorica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gorica could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Umag won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 423:485. (average 26.4:30.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Umag won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 188:194. (average 26.9:27.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Umag
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
08.11.25	Spačva Vinkovci - Umag	31:23 ✺
25.10.25	Umag - Medjimurje	35:33 ✺
11.10.25	Trogir - Umag	32:22 ✺
04.10.25	Varazdin - Umag	30:30 ✺
01.10.25	Umag - Rudar Rude	23:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 LWLTT
- HRK Gorica
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
07.11.25	Gorica - Varazdin	32:22 ✺
26.10.25	Rudar Rude - Gorica	32:34 ✺
18.10.25	Gorica - Trogir	31:37 ✺
11.10.25	Spačva Vinkovci - Gorica	27:29 ✺
04.10.25	Gorica - Medjimurje	31:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
27.09.25	Gorica - Umag	37:28
11.12.21	Gorica - Umag	31:17
11.06.21	Gorica - Umag	30:20
29.05.21	Umag - Gorica	22:30
27.02.21	Gorica - Umag	31:26
11.11.20	Umag - Gorica	20:34
08.12.19	Gorica - Umag	42:33

Umag - Gorica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide