Match Info

Proligue - Round 29

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Valence		Caen

	1	X	2
	1.93	7.8	2.21
	1.92	6.81	2.32	Watch
	1.83	8	2.2
	1.92	8.6	2.19	Watch
	1.95	7	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.94)	7.64 ↑ (6.74)	2.22 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valence
47.4%

Draw
11.9%

Caen
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

13.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

13.3%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valence than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Valence - Caen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valence won 2.

Valence has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Caen is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Valence won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 282:291. (average 31.3:32.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Valence won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 140:134. (average 35:33.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
13	Valence	6	1	0	4	197:207	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valence Handball
French Proligue Handball
24.04.26	Saintes - Valence	30:24 ✺
17.04.26	Valence - Angers	28:25 ✺
14.04.26	Valence - Creteil	36:27 ✺
10.04.26	Besançon - Valence	31:28 ✺
03.04.26	Saran Loiret - Valence	35:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLL
- Caen Handball
French Proligue Handball
24.04.26	Frontignan Thau - Caen	35:37 ✺
18.04.26	Caen - Pau Billère	30:29 ✺
15.04.26	Saran Loiret - Caen	42:28 ✺
10.04.26	Caen - Ivry	31:30 ✺
03.04.26	Caen - Angers	37:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Proligue Handball
09.10.25	Caen - Valence	37:33
07.03.25	Valence - Caen	37:34
27.09.24	Caen - Valence	34:26
05.04.24	Caen - Valence	32:31
07.10.23	Valence - Caen	32:30
24.03.23	Valence - Caen	28:35
01.12.22	Caen - Valence	26:26

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