Match Info

EUROPE: European Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Valur Reykjavik		Minaur Baia Mare

	1	X	2
	1.5	9.5	3.1
	1.45	9.75	3.2
	1.46	9.68	3.34
	1.44	9	3.1
	1.5	8.9	3.37
	1.51	9.2	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (2.4)	9.34 ↑ (8)	3.21 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valur Reykjavik
61.8%

Draw
9.8%

Minaur Baia Mare
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

11.6%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

11.6%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valur Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valur Reykjavik's performance.

Minaur Baia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minaur Baia Mare might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-23.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valur Reykjavik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minaur Baia Mare than the current prediction. (+21.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minaur Baia Mare could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valur Reykjavik - Minaur Baia Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:31

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Lineups


88. Finnsson A.	66. Ardelean O. I.
31. Fylkisson T.	6. Botea T.
3. Gislason T. T.	99. Buzogany B.
14. Gustafsson I.	21. Cip T.
1. Gustavsson B.	10. Cumpanici G.
23. Hostert R.	51. Fotache V.
5. Jonsson A.	15. Kotrc M.
15. Juliusson A.	20. Kozakevych A.
24. Magnusson M.	44. Mollino A.
25. Nordberg A.	3. Nagy R.
9. Oskarsson B.	35. Pop E.
8. Palsson A.	12. Terekhov A.
43. Pettersson A.	43. Vujic S.
20. Runarsson B. E.	9. Vujovic S.
10. Stefansson V.
7. Thordarson U.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Valur is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Minaur Baia Mare is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Valur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Valur will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valur Reykjavik Handball
Icelandic Olis Deildin
13.04.24	Fram - Valur Reykjavik	24:36 ✺
10.04.24	Valur Reykjavik - Fram	41:23 ✺
05.04.24	Valur Reykjavik - Afturelding	34:35 ✺
02.04.24	KA Akureyri - Valur Reykjavik	34:29 ✺
EHF European Cup
30.03.24	Valur Reykjavik - Steaua București	36:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLW
- HC Minaur Baia Mare
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball
17.04.24	Universitatea Cluj - Minaur Baia Mare	30:40 ✺
14.04.24	Minaur Baia Mare - Bacău	31:29 ✺
10.04.24	CSM Focșani - Minaur Baia Mare	26:26 ✺
04.04.24	Minaur Baia Mare - Steaua București	32:27 ✺
EHF European Cup
30.03.24	Bregenz - Minaur Baia Mare	30:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWTWL

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