Match Info

EUROPE: European Cup - Final

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Valur Reykjavik		Olympiacos

	1	X	2
	1.35	9.5	4	Watch
	1.3	11	4.1
	1.3	10.53	4.49
	1.25	9.5	4.5
	1.37	9.8	4.11
	1.32	10	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.4)	10.06 ↑ (9.5)	4.25 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valur Reykjavik
69.4%

Draw
9.1%

Olympiacos
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

10%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

11%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valur Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Olympiacos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valur Reykjavik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Valur Reykjavik - Olympiacos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:27

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Lineups


88. Finnsson A.	23. Dompris C.
31. Fylkisson T.	17. Kandilas P.
3. Gislason T. T.	7. Karampourniotis P.
14. Gustafsson I.	45. Kavcic M.
1. Gustavsson B.	1. Kotanidis K.
23. Hostert R.	66. Michailidis S.
5. Jonsson A.	33. Montoro A.
15. Juliusson A.	12. Papantonopoulos P.
24. Magnusson M.	8. Papavasilis G.
25. Nordberg A.	32. Passias N.
9. Oskarsson B.	77. Savvas S.
8. Palsson A.	44. Slavuljica S.
43. Pettersson A.	19. Sliskovic I.
6. Sigurdsson V.	10. Tzimpoulas G.
10. Stefansson V.	6. Tziras D.
7. Thordarson U.	9. Vida I.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Valur is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olympiacos is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Olympiacos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Valur is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valur Reykjavik Handball
Icelandic Olis Deildin
15.05.24	Valur Reykjavik - Afturelding	27:29 ✺
05.05.24	Afturelding - Valur Reykjavik	26:25 ✺
02.05.24	Valur Reykjavik - Afturelding	39:25 ✺
EHF European Cup
28.04.24	Minaur Baia Mare - Valur Reykjavik	24:30 ✺
Icelandic Olis Deildin
24.04.24	Afturelding - Valur Reykjavik	28:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWWL
- Olympiacos Handball
EHF European Cup
27.04.24	Olympiacos - Ferencváros	39:32 ✺
20.04.24	Ferencváros - Olympiacos	28:28 ✺
Greek A1 Handball
13.04.24	PAOK - Olympiacos	26:21 ✺
10.04.24	Olympiacos - Doukas	41:31 ✺
03.04.24	Olympiacos - Diomidis Argous	33:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTLWW

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