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Current Win Probability
Vardar 41.9%
Draw 10.5%
Motor Zaporizhia 47.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.7%
10.4%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.4%
9.2%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vardar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vardar's form might have worsened.
Motor Zaporizhia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motor Zaporizhia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vardar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Zaporizhia than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motor Zaporizhia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
4.1%
6.1%
89.8%
Vardar - Motor Zaporizhia Predictions
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Vardar will win (votes: 2 - 4.1%). Motor will win (votes: 44 - 89.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Motor: 81.3% โ 98.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31
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Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to SEHA Liga (Play Offs: 1/8tofinals) and 1 in the zone Promotion to SEHA Liga (Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).
Vardar is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Motor is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Motor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Vardar won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 167-157.
Including matches at home between the teams Vardar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 82-65.