Match Info

EUROPE: BALTIC LEAGUE

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Viljandi		Klaipeda Dragunas

	1	X	2
	1.35	10	3.8
	1.41	10.25	3.5
	1.38	9.6	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.36)	9.95 ↑ (9.2)	3.72 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viljandi
66.2%

Draw
9.2%

Klaipeda Dragunas
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

9.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

9.7%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viljandi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Klaipeda Dragunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viljandi than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Klaipeda Dragunas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Viljandi - Klaipeda Dragunas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:27

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Viljandi won 5.

Viljandi in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Klaipeda Dragunas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Klaipeda Dragunas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Viljandi have a series of home games.

In this match Viljandi is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Viljandi to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Viljandi won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 204-178.

Including matches at home between the teams Viljandi won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 117-95.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viljandi HC
Baltic League Handball
25.02.23	Viljandi - Granitas Kaunas	34:26 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga Handball
15.02.23	Viljandi - Tapa	32:29 ✺
Baltic League Handball
11.02.23	Viljandi - Mistra	23:20 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga Handball
08.02.23	HC Tallinn - Viljandi	21:27 ✺
01.02.23	Viljandi - Kehra	33:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW
- Klaipeda Dragunas
Baltic League Handball
25.02.23	Mistra - Klaipeda Dragunas	35:32 ✺
Lietuvos Lyga Handball
11.02.23	Granitas Kaunas - Klaipeda Dragunas	18:25 ✺
28.01.23	Klaipeda Dragunas - Varsa Alytus	35:28 ✺
21.01.23	Klaipeda Dragunas - Vilnius	30:31 ✺
Baltic League Handball
15.01.23	Klaipeda Dragunas - ASK LSPA	32:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Baltic League Handball
25.09.22	Klaipeda Dragunas - Viljandi	21:30
23.04.22	Viljandi - Klaipeda Dragunas	30:26
06.03.22	Viljandi - Klaipeda Dragunas	29:22
25.09.21	Klaipeda Dragunas - Viljandi	23:27
03.04.21	Viljandi - Klaipeda Dragunas	31:21
27.09.20	Klaipeda Dragunas - Viljandi	39:30
01.10.17	Viljandi - Klaipeda Dragunas	27:26

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