Match Info

Lietuvos Lyga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday


	Vilnius		Šviesa

	1	X	2
	4.82	10.2	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↑ (4.09)	10.2 ↑ (9.5)	1.27 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilnius
19%

Draw
9%

Šviesa
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

9.6%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Šviesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Vilnius - Šviesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:35

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Preview

2nd leg. Sviesa leads series 1-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vilnius won 1.

Šviesa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vilnius could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Šviesa is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Vilnius won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 564:648 (average 28.2:32.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Vilnius won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 258:281 (average 28.7:31.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Vilnius
Lietuvos Lyga Handball
09.04.25	Šviesa - Vilnius	36:30 ✺
29.03.25	Vilnius - Ūla Varėna	36:32 ✺
19.03.25	Šviesa - Vilnius	37:25 ✺
26.02.25	Granitas Kaunas - Vilnius	39:30 ✺
15.02.25	Vilnius - Pieno Zvaigzdes	33:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLW
- VHC Šviesa
Lietuvos Lyga Handball
09.04.25	Šviesa - Vilnius	36:30 ✺
05.04.25	Šviesa - Klaipeda Dragunas	29:34 ✺
02.04.25	Granitas Kaunas - Šviesa	32:32 ✺
19.03.25	Šviesa - Vilnius	37:25 ✺
19.02.25	Ūla Varėna - Šviesa	24:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Lyga Handball
09.04.25	Šviesa - Vilnius	36:30
19.03.25	Šviesa - Vilnius	37:25
09.10.24	Vilnius - Šviesa	35:31
06.03.24	Vilnius - Šviesa	30:33
14.12.23	Šviesa - Vilnius	36:31
04.10.23	Vilnius - Šviesa	34:36
05.11.22	Šviesa - Vilnius	35:33

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