Match Info

PORTUGAL: ANDEBOL 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 20 December 2023, Wednesday


	Vitoria Setúbal		Póvoa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	10	1.4
	4.52	8.89	1.34	Watch
	4.2	9	1.29
	4.45	9.5	1.31
	4.4	10	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (3.67)	9.48 ↑ (8.8)	1.33 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Setúbal
21.7%

Draw
9.6%

Póvoa
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

10.3%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

9.9%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Póvoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Setúbal than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Póvoa than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Póvoa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vitoria Setúbal - Póvoa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:28

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitoria Setúbal won 0.

Vitoria Setúbal has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Póvoa is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Póvoa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Vitoria Setúbal have a series of guest games.

In this match Póvoa is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Vitoria Setúbal won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 177-194.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitoria Setúbal won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 81-87.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
16.12.23	Vitoria Setúbal - Águas Santas	21:32 ✺
09.12.23	Belenenses - Vitoria Setúbal	38:21 ✺
25.11.23	Madeira - Vitoria Setúbal	37:27 ✺
18.11.23	Águas Santas - Vitoria Setúbal	31:26 ✺
11.11.23	ABC Braga - Vitoria Setúbal	32:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Póvoa Andebol
Portuguese Andebol 1
12.12.23	Póvoa - ABC Braga	19:29 ✺
01.12.23	Benfica - Póvoa	29:23 ✺
26.11.23	Póvoa - Porto	23:32 ✺
18.11.23	Avanca - Póvoa	22:22 ✺
11.11.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Póvoa	25:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Andebol 1
30.09.23	Póvoa - Vitoria Setúbal	28:22
13.05.23	Póvoa - Vitoria Setúbal	30:28
26.11.22	Vitoria Setúbal - Póvoa	30:30
16.04.22	Póvoa - Vitoria Setúbal	28:26
09.04.22	Vitoria Setúbal - Póvoa	30:31
20.02.21	Póvoa - Vitoria Setúbal	21:20
26.09.20	Vitoria Setúbal - Póvoa	21:26

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