Match Info

Champions League - Preliminary - Round 3

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Hala Legionów (Kielce)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	EHF TV
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport 6, Arena Sport 7
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Usa	MSG Sportsnet


	Vive Kielce		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	4	9.5	1.42	Watch
	3.30	8.75	1.46
	3.8	9.25	1.37	Watch
	3.93	8.6	1.44	Watch
	3.3	9.4	1.41
	3.39	9.9	1.55	Watch
	3.55	10	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.8)	9.34 ↑ (8.5)	1.44 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vive Kielce
25.7%

Draw
9.9%

Magdeburg
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

11.1%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

10.7%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vive Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vive Kielce's form might have worsened.

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Magdeburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vive Kielce than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vive Kielce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Magdeburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Vive Kielce - Magdeburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:33

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kielce won 3.

Kielce has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Magdeburg shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Kielce could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Magdeburg has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Magdeburg is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Magdeburg in today's match, at odds of 1.5.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Kielce has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 188:194 (averaging 26.9:27.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kielce against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 52:55 goals (averaging 26:27.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Magdeburg - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 55.05%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Vive Kielce
Polish Superliga Handball
03.10.26	Vive Kielce - Legionowo	34:22 ✺
30.09.26	Vive Kielce - Śląsk Wrocław	43:26 ✺
27.09.26	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - Vive Kielce	29:42 ✺
21.09.26	Vive Kielce - MMTS Kwidzyn	39:22 ✺
EHF Champions League
16.09.26	Kolstad - Vive Kielce	29:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWW
- SC Magdeburg
German Bundesliga Handball
04.10.26	Magdeburg - Erlangen	35:28 ✺
30.09.26	Magdeburg - THW Kiel	32:26 ✺
26.09.26	Magdeburg - Bietigheim	33:24 ✺
German DHB Pokal
23.09.26	Magdeburg - HSG Wetzlar	38:28 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
20.09.26	MT Melsungen - Magdeburg	37:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
12.02.25	Vive Kielce - Magdeburg	25:29
10.10.24	Magdeburg - Vive Kielce	26:27
Club Friendly Hanbdall
24.08.24	Magdeburg - Vive Kielce	28:31
EHF Champions League
01.05.24	Magdeburg - Vive Kielce	27:25
24.04.24	Vive Kielce - Magdeburg	27:26
Club World Championship Handball
11.11.23	Magdeburg - Vive Kielce	28:24
EHF Champions League
18.06.23	Magdeburg - Vive Kielce	30:29 OT

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