Match Info

2. Bundesliga Women - Round 22

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Werder Bremen		Bergischer

	1	X	2
	1.51	7.8	3.25
	1.51	7.75	3.25
	1.53	9	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.73)	8.18 ↓ (8.55)	3.21 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen
60.3%

Draw
11.2%

Bergischer
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

10.7%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

10.7%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Werder Bremen's performance.

Bergischer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bergischer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Werder Bremen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergischer than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bergischer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Werder Bremen - Bergischer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:25

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Preview

Werder is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Bergischer has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Werder will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Werder won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 75:81. (average 25:27).

Including home match between the teams, Werder won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:30.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Bergischer W	5	4	1	0	156:139	9
12	Werder Bremen W	5	1	0	4	146:169	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen Handball Women
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
21.03.26	Füchse Berlin - Werder Bremen	28:26 ✺
28.02.26	Werder Bremen - Buchholz 08-Rosengarten	22:22 ✺
21.02.26	Nürtingen - Werder Bremen	35:29 ✺
14.02.26	Werder Bremen - Leipzig	29:24 ✺
07.02.26	Rödertal - Werder Bremen	31:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTLWL
- Bergischer HC 06 Women
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
21.03.26	Bergischer - Rostocker	28:20 ✺
13.03.26	Bergischer - Leipzig	29:29 ✺
28.02.26	Freiburg - Bergischer	21:20 ✺
21.02.26	Bergischer - Mainz	25:23 ✺
15.02.26	Lintfort - Bergischer	24:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
01.11.25	Bergischer - Werder Bremen	26:25
08.02.25	Werder Bremen - Bergischer	30:30
21.09.24	Bergischer - Werder Bremen	25:20

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