Match Info

Date: 16 December 2020, Wednesday


	Wilhelmshavener		Ferndorf

	1	X	2
	2.5	8	1.75
	2.2	8.75	1.95
	2.3	8.5	1.79
	2.3	8	1.75
	2.5	7.5	1.75
	2.4	8.2	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.16)	8.16 ↑ (7.62)	1.81 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wilhelmshavener
38.4%

Draw
11.2%

Ferndorf
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

11.9%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

10.8%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wilhelmshavener has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Ferndorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wilhelmshavener than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferndorf than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	14.3%	78.6%

Wilhelmshavener - Ferndorf Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferndorf will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:28

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Preview

Wilhelmshavener is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferndorf is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferndorf could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wilhelmshavener won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 122-134.

Including matches at home between the teams Wilhelmshavener won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 52-61.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wilhelmshavener HV
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
12.12.20	Bietigheim - Wilhelmshavener	25:18 ✺
08.12.20	Wilhelmshavener - Gummersbach	28:30 ✺
05.12.20	Wilhelmshavener - HSV Hamburg	25:31 ✺
21.11.20	Wilhelmshavener - DJK Rimpar	24:23 ✺
18.11.20	Dessau-Roßlauer - Wilhelmshavener	32:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWL
- TuS Ferndorf
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
06.12.20	Dessau-Roßlauer - Ferndorf	26:28 ✺
25.11.20	Emsdetten - Ferndorf	31:31 ✺
22.11.20	Konstanz - Ferndorf	29:26 ✺
18.11.20	Ferndorf - Hamm-Westfalen	27:21 ✺
31.10.20	Ferndorf - Fürstenfeldbruck	30:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
11.05.19	Wilhelmshavener - Ferndorf	22:34
24.11.18	Ferndorf - Wilhelmshavener	27:21
25.03.17	Wilhelmshavener - Ferndorf	30:27
15.10.16	Ferndorf - Wilhelmshavener	21:23
22.04.16	Ferndorf - Wilhelmshavener	25:26

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