The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zamora 71.4%
Draw 8.1%
Alarcos Ciudad Real 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.6%
9.8%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.8%
9.6%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zamora's performance.
Alarcos Ciudad Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alarcos Ciudad Real might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamora that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alarcos Ciudad Real than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alarcos Ciudad Real could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Zamora won 1.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
In this match Zamora is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Zamora won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 240-247.
Including matches at home between the teams Zamora won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 139-126.