Match Info

SPAIN: DIVISION DE HONOR PLATA - ROUND 12

Date: 6 December 2023, Wednesday


	Zamora		Alcobendas

	1	X	2
	3.44	8.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.63)	8.8 ↑ (8)	1.45 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
26.6%

Draw
10.4%

Alcobendas
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

11.3%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

11.3%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zamora's form might have worsened.

Alcobendas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcobendas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zamora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcobendas than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcobendas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zamora - Alcobendas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:30

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zamora won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Alcobendas is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Zamora won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 262-296.

Including matches at home between the teams Zamora won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 132-137.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MMT Seguros Zamora
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
02.12.23	Villa de Aranda - Zamora	32:22 ✺
25.11.23	Zamora - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	29:29 ✺
18.11.23	Caserio Ciudad Real - Zamora	29:22 ✺
11.11.23	Agustinos Alicante - Zamora	30:21 ✺
28.10.23	Zamora - Cisne	29:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 LTLLW
- BM Alcobendas
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
02.12.23	Alcobendas - Agustinos Alicante	28:28 ✺
25.11.23	Cisne - Alcobendas	28:27 ✺
18.11.23	Alcobendas - Barcelona II	33:34 ✺
11.11.23	Burgos - Alcobendas	27:26 ✺
28.10.23	Alcobendas - Atlético Novás	23:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
17.12.22	Zamora - Alcobendas	29:28
01.10.22	Alcobendas - Zamora	36:24
22.02.22	Zamora - Alcobendas	30:31
30.10.21	Alcobendas - Zamora	30:29
19.12.20	Alcobendas - Zamora	27:20
25.11.20	Zamora - Alcobendas	24:28
15.02.20	Alcobendas - Zamora	37:27

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