Match Info

D1 - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Épinal		Drakkars de Caen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.61	4.83	2.02
	2.65	4.1	2.1
	2.6	4.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.55)	4.39 ↓ (4.4)	2.04 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Épinal
34.7%

Draw
20.7%

Drakkars de Caen
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

20.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

20.4%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Épinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Drakkars de Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Épinal than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drakkars de Caen than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Épinal - Drakkars de Caen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Épinal won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Drakkars de Caen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Épinal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 52:38. (average 3.7:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Épinal won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:14. (average 4.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
12	Caen	1	0	0	1	0	3:4	1
14	Epinal	2	0	0	1	1	6:8	1

Last Results with these Odds

Drakkars de Caen - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 44.67%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Épinal HC
French D1 Ice Hockey
13.01.26	HCMP - Épinal	7:6 ✺
10.01.26	Épinal - Meudon	3:1 ✺
03.01.26	Villard-de-Lans - Épinal	3:6 ✺
20.12.25	Épinal - Corsaires de Dunkerque	2:3 OT ✺
13.12.25	Nantes - Épinal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLW
- Drakkars de Caen
French D1 Ice Hockey
13.01.26	Drakkars de Caen - Morzine-Avoriaz	5:4 ✺
10.01.26	Diables Rouges de Valenciennes - Drakkars de Caen	6:3 ✺
French Hockey Cup
06.01.26	Drakkars de Caen - Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble	3:6 ✺
French D1 Ice Hockey
03.01.26	Drakkars de Caen - Neuilly-sur-Marne	7:1 ✺
20.12.25	Dogs de Cholet - Drakkars de Caen	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French D1 Ice Hockey
31.10.25	Drakkars de Caen - Épinal	6:1
27.04.25	Épinal - Drakkars de Caen	3:0
24.04.25	Drakkars de Caen - Épinal	2:3 OT
23.04.25	Drakkars de Caen - Épinal	3:2 OT
20.04.25	Épinal - Drakkars de Caen	3:7
19.04.25	Épinal - Drakkars de Caen	3:1
11.02.25	Épinal - Drakkars de Caen	1:2 penalties

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