Match Info

SHL

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Behrn Arena (Örebro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3


	Örebro		Malmö Redhawks

	1	X	2
	2.3	4.3	2.65
	2.36	4.07	2.61
	2.41	3.8	2.59	Watch
	2.25	3.8	2.6
	2.34	4.15	2.51	Watch
	2.4	4.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.2)	4.06 ↓ (4.09)	2.57 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örebro
40.2%

Draw
23.2%

Malmö Redhawks
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

22.9%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

25.6%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Malmö Redhawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Örebro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö Redhawks than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Malmö Redhawks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Örebro - Malmö Redhawks Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Örebro will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Malmö will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Malmö Redhawks will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Arntzen J. (G)	94. Langhamer M. (G)
55. Quenneville D.	49. Barton S.
7. Martin L.	42. Salo R.
89. Karlkvist P.	91. Sundberg A.
11. Kossila K.	63. Handemark F. (C)
77. Turunen T.	95. Persson C.
Line 2
6. Berglund F.	7. Niemela T.
27. Seppala P.	6. Viro E.
72. Ylonen J.	48. Pajuniemi L.
80. Miketinac K.	78. Hanzl R.
21. Puistola P.	22. Kuokkanen J. (A)
Line 3
41. Hallquisth T.	4. Schreiber M.
5. Backstrom G.	17. Ivarsson J. (A)
23. Polin E.	12. Oberg L.
29. Oscarson M.	20. Berg-Paulsen T.
12. Steen N.	10. von Barnekow-Lofberg W.
Line 4
19. Elofsson A.	11. Pedrotti E.
37. Gustafsson G.	32. Ikonen Jo.
33. Mastomaki C.	13. Vesterheim P.
17. Wikman W.	9. Hemstrom K.
Substitutes
1. Enroth J. (G)	40. Blomgren O. (G)
46. Sjodin S.	71. Nilsson I.
30. Tornblom K. (G)
Coaches
. Eriksson N.	. Kollar T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
15:35, Hanzl R. (2 min),
17:59, Barton S. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:00, 1 - 0, Turunen T. (G), Karlkvist P. (A), Quenneville D. (A2)
15:53, 1 - 1, Barton S. (G), Salo R. (A), Vesterheim P. (A2)
17:18, Berg-Paulsen T. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
05:42, 2 - 1, Kossila K. (G), Turunen T. (A), Quenneville D. (A2)
06:08, 3 - 1, Quenneville D. (G), Martin L. (A), Wikman W. (A2)
11:54, Gustafsson G. (2 min),
11:58, 3 - 2, Handemark F. (G), Kuokkanen J. (A), Salo R. (A2)
17:12, 4 - 2, Ylonen J. (G), Puistola P. (A), Seppala P. (A2)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örebro won 1.

Recent form of Örebro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Malmö is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Örebro has had a series of away games.

Recently, Malmö has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Malmö will win today's game, with odds of 2.55.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Örebro won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 57:60. (average 2.9:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Örebro won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:34. (average 2.6:3.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Malmo	6	2	1	2	1	16:16	10
10	Orebro	7	2	0	2	3	14:20	8

Last Results with these Odds

Örebro - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.5%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Malmö Redhawks - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.63%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örebro HK
SHL
08.01.26	Djurgården - Örebro	3:4 ✺
06.01.26	Timrå - Örebro	5:2 ✺
03.01.26	Örebro - Rögle	3:4 ✺
30.12.25	Linköping - Örebro	4:3 ✺
28.12.25	Brynäs - Örebro	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL
- Malmö Redhawks
SHL
08.01.26	Malmö Redhawks - Brynäs	3:2 ✺
06.01.26	Malmö Redhawks - Färjestad	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Malmö Redhawks - Linköping	5:0 ✺
30.12.25	HV71 - Malmö Redhawks	2:3 OT ✺
28.12.25	Malmö Redhawks - Frölunda	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

SHL
15.11.25	Örebro - Malmö Redhawks	0:5
02.10.25	Malmö Redhawks - Örebro	3:2
08.03.25	Örebro - Malmö Redhawks	2:4
23.01.25	Malmö Redhawks - Örebro	0:5
07.12.24	Örebro - Malmö Redhawks	2:3
19.10.24	Malmö Redhawks - Örebro	1:2 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.24	Örebro - Malmö Redhawks	3:1

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