Match Info

SHL - Round 4

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Malmö Arena (Malmö)


	Malmö Redhawks		Frölunda

	1	X	2
	2.65	4.25	2.25	Watch
	2.65	4.10	2.25
	2.55	3.95	2.48	Watch
	2.44	3.64	2.58
	2.44	4.08	2.44	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.55
	2.4	4.1	2.47	Watch
	2.45	3.95	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.65)	3.96 ↓ (4.01)	2.43 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö Redhawks
37.6%

Draw
23.7%

Frölunda
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

23.3%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

26%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö Redhawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Frölunda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö Redhawks than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frölunda than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Malmö Redhawks - Frölunda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
94. Langhamer M. (G)	1. Johansson L. (G)
49. Barton S.	6. Hasa F. (A)
12. Dahlbeck K. (A)	7. Tommernes H. (A)
91. Sundberg A.	11. Fagemo S.
63. Handemark F. (C)	44. Peterson J.
95. Persson C.	92. Cederqvist F. (A)
Line 2
7. Kaski O.	43. Nilsson T.
6. Viro E.	33. Hogberg L.
48. Pajuniemi L.	12. Friberg M. (C)
22. Kuokkanen J. (A)	40. Hasa N.
43. Eklind O.	21. Puistola P.
Line 3
28. Myrenberg J.	8. Johannesson S.
51. Diliberatore P.	26. Heens I.
9. Pettersson H.	9. Clarke G.
78. Hanzl R.	70. Dower Nilsson L.
13. Vesterheim P.	77. Lindholm M.
Line 4
26. Noren P. (A)	3. Milosevic S.
27. Born I.	27. Olausson O.
20. Berg-Paulsen T.	16. Meijer B.
10. von Barnekow-Lofberg W.	10. Westergard M.
Substitutes
24. Bjorkman F.	64. Klyvoe M.
40. Blomgren O. (G)	50. Thegerstrom W. (G)
Coaches
. Kollar T.	. Ohlsson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
12:44, Milosevic S. (2 min),
19:18, 1 - 0, Kaski O. (G), Viro E. (A), von Barnekow-Lofberg W. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
04:31, Johannesson S. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
07:32, Kuokkanen J. (2 min),
08:31, 1 - 1, Clarke G. (G), Fagemo S. (A), Tommernes H. (A2)
10:36, Hanzl R. (2 min),
10:36, Tommernes H. (2 min),
16:33, Kuokkanen J. (2 min),
17:28, Dahlbeck K. (2 min),
18:22, 1 - 2, Puistola P. (G), Clarke G. (A), Tommernes H. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 1.

Malmö is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Frölunda shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Malmö could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Frölunda in today's match, at odds of 2.24.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Malmö has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:47 (averaging 2.1:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Malmö against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 17:25 goals (averaging 1.9:2.8 per game).

Outrights of SHL for now

Frolunda: 14.3% Malmo: 2.03%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Frolunda	7	5	1	0	1	24:17	17
7	Malmo	6	2	1	2	1	16:16	10

Last Results with these Odds

Malmö Redhawks - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.23%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Frölunda - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.49%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö Redhawks
SHL
22.09.26	Växjö Lakers - Malmö Redhawks	4:3 OT ✺
19.09.26	HV71 - Malmö Redhawks	4:5 AET ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
10.09.26	Djurgården - Malmö Redhawks	4:3 penalties ✺
05.09.26	Malmö Redhawks - HV71	2:3 AET ✺
04.09.26	Malmö Redhawks - Linköping	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL
- Frölunda HC
SHL
24.09.26	Luleå - Frölunda	3:7 ✺
22.09.26	Frölunda - Färjestad	3:2 penalties ✺
19.09.26	Frölunda - Växjö Lakers	5:4 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
12.09.26	Storhamar Dragons - Frölunda	3:5 ✺
10.09.26	Kölner Haie - Frölunda	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	Frölunda - Malmö Redhawks	1:3
SHL
14.03.26	Frölunda - Malmö Redhawks	4:1
28.12.25	Malmö Redhawks - Frölunda	2:3 penalties
20.11.25	Frölunda - Malmö Redhawks	3:0
09.10.25	Malmö Redhawks - Frölunda	1:6
01.03.25	Malmö Redhawks - Frölunda	0:3
28.01.25	Frölunda - Malmö Redhawks	2:3 penalties

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