The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AIK 59.6%
Draw 19.6%
Troja Ljungby 20.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
20.3%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59%
19.8%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Troja Ljungby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AIK than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troja Ljungby than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
AIK - Troja Ljungby Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
38. Gunnarsson J. (G)
35. Holm V. (G)
15. Gronlund A.
4. Wang Calle
78. Schunzel L.
43. Arvedson A.
58. Magnusson O.
8. Nilsson A.
26. Nord O.
19. McShane A.
67. Sigrell E.
82. Forsmark F.
Line 2
62. Akerstrom S.
41. Hallquisth T.
57. Barklund A.
18. Hedberg T.
65. Blomstrand L.
22. Salqvist I.
29. Ljungman D.
13. Wemmenborn A.
12. Pooley S.
96. Skager L.
Line 3
46. Gustafsson V.
16. Froland D.
54. Wernquist N.
6. Ernstig C.
76. Aterius E.
20. Lennstrom F.
23. Tarnstrom O.
83. Wikstrom J.
71. Dahlstrom J.
88. Hellstrom F.
Line 4
25. Bengtsson C.
3. Elisson V.
63. Boije S.
76. Wahlgren J.
13. Kopac B.
78. Andersen J.
77. Wahlgren M.
Substitutes
30. Brattstrom V. (G)
37. Stalberg J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
09:39, 1 - 0, Barklund A. (G), Boije S. (A), Akerstrom S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
14:11, 2 - 0, Blomstrand L. (G), Gustafsson V. (A),
17:34, 2 - 1, Nilsson A. (G), McShane A. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:05, 3 - 1, Kopac B. (G), Bengtsson C. (A), Boije S. (A2)
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14 in the zone HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AIK won 5.
Recent performances by AIK have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Troja Ljungby has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Troja Ljungby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, AIK has had a series of away games.
In this match, AIK is the team to beat.
We predict that AIK will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, AIK won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 46:23. (average 4.2:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, AIK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 4.6:2.4).
Last Results with these Odds
AIK - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.65%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.