Match Info

HockeyAllsvenskan

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: SP Arena (Ljungby)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Troja Ljungby		Almtuna IS

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.3	3.6
	1.96	4.25	3.2	Watch
	1.8	4.42	3.48	Watch
	1.69	4.2	3.9	Watch
	1.9	4.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.19)	4.28 ↑ (4)	3.5 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troja Ljungby
51.3%

Draw
21.9%

Almtuna IS
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

23.2%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

23.7%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troja Ljungby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Troja Ljungby's performance.

Almtuna IS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almtuna IS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troja Ljungby than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Troja Ljungby that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almtuna IS than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almtuna IS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Troja Ljungby - Almtuna IS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Stalberg J. (G)	1. Liv H. (G)
18. Hedberg T.	23. Hakansson W.
11. Bergmanis A.	33. Asplund O.
20. Lennstrom F. (A)	14. Oby-Olsen M.
22. Salqvist I.	71. Stockselius L.
96. Skager L.	15. Danielsson L.
Line 2
16. Froland D. (C)	3. Hammarlund E.
57. Ehrnberg C.	9. Burger E.
8. Nilsson A.	18. Eriksson A.
19. McShane A.	29. Smith L.
82. Forsmark F.	21. Wersall M.
Line 3
43. Arvedson A.	36. Lereback L. (A)
59. Wytinck Z.	4. Aronsson V. (C)
73. Gradin A.	10. Forslund C.
83. Wikstrom J. (A)	40. Ohlsson A.
24. Olsson H.	96. Proos W.
Line 4
4. Wang Calle	50. Udd A.
41. Hallquisth T.	90. Gronhagen J.
88. Hellstrom F.	17. Pentler O.
10. Kakela L.	13. Schlyter F. (A)
9. Warg L.
Substitutes
35. Holm V. (G)	31. Andren V. (G)
	20. Thulin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
19:06, 0 - 1, Danielsson L. (G), Asplund O. (A), Oby-Olsen M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:30, 0 - 2, Stockselius L. (G), Hakansson W. (A),
07:57, 0 - 3, Oby-Olsen M. (G), Wersall M. (A), Schlyter F. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
01:50, 0 - 4, Eriksson A. (G), Wersall M. (A), Hammarlund E. (A2)
02:24, 0 - 5, Forslund C. (G), Ohlsson A. (A), Proos W. (A2)
19:54, 0 - 6, Schlyter F. (G), Stockselius L. (A), Hammarlund E. (A2)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troja Ljungby won 2.

Troja Ljungby is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Almtuna has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Troja Ljungby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Troja Ljungby has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Troja Ljungby will win today's game, with odds of 2.17.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Troja Ljungby won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 40:46. (average 2.7:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Troja Ljungby won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 3.1:3.6).

Outrights of Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan for now

Almtuna: 0.95%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Almtuna	9	4	1	1	3	28:24	15

Last Results with these Odds

Almtuna IS - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.39%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troja Ljungby
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
16.01.26	Troja Ljungby - Modo	3:0 ✺
14.01.26	Nybro Vikings - Troja Ljungby	4:5 OT ✺
10.01.26	BIK Karlskoga - Troja Ljungby	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Mora - Troja Ljungby	4:3 penalties ✺
07.01.26	Västerås - Troja Ljungby	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.5 WWWLW
- Almtuna IS
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
16.01.26	Mora - Almtuna IS	4:3 OT ✺
14.01.26	Almtuna IS - Oskarshamn	1:3 ✺
09.01.26	Almtuna IS - Södertälje	4:7 ✺
07.01.26	Kalmar - Almtuna IS	0:1 penalties ✺
05.01.26	Nybro Vikings - Almtuna IS	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
16.11.25	Troja Ljungby - Almtuna IS	3:4 OT
29.10.25	Almtuna IS - Troja Ljungby	2:5
19.11.21	Almtuna IS - Troja Ljungby	3:2 OT
17.11.21	Troja Ljungby - Almtuna IS	3:5
20.10.21	Troja Ljungby - Almtuna IS	6:4
24.09.21	Almtuna IS - Troja Ljungby	4:2
27.02.18	Almtuna IS - Troja Ljungby	3:2

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