Match Info

VHL

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Tula) 🌤️ ...


	AKM		Dizel Penza

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.2	2.25
	2.4	3.25	2.25
	1.98	4	3.19	Watch
	2.39	3.75	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.91)	3.55 ↓ (3.96)	2.54 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKM
38.7%

Draw
25.6%

Dizel Penza
35.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49%

23.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

23.1%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AKM's form might have worsened.

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dizel Penza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AKM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dizel Penza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AKM - Dizel Penza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AKM (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Kanarsky I. (G)	52. Dagestansky D. (G)
17. Trishin A. (C)	24. Pelevin A.
86. Faizullin A.	75. Pogorishny O. (A)
10. Rozhkov N. A.	13. Svishchyov K.
38. Shipov I. (A)	47. Bobylyov V. (C)
61. Gorshkov A. (A)	66. Misnikov A.
Line 2
69. Pautov Y.	25. Rudakov G.
23. Mineyev M.	83. Sukhov S.
11. Rakhimullin D.	22. Bain M.
9. Sato Y.	7. Savunov D.
7. Khanin M.	97. Borisenkov A.
Line 3
72. Shutyayev D.	96. Dryagilev A.
28. Bulygin D.	74. Spitsenko K.
29. Kaburov G.	70. Gazizov R.
47. Skutin Y.	87. Mingaleyev D. (A)
95. Seliverstov A.	71. Dubakin S.
Line 4
52. Motygullin B.	5. Gafarov G.
25. Kramarenko Y.	9. Balanov Y.
55. Suvorov A.	69. Boluchevsky A.
21. Kodola V.	84. Utkin M.
15. Yermakov Y.	91. Opolinsky M.
Substitutes
40. Korzin Y. (G)	27. Arzamastsev A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
02:57, 1 - 0, Rozhkov N. A. (G), Gorshkov A. (A), Mineyev M. (A2)
04:20, 2 - 0, Seliverstov A. (G), Skutin Y. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:12, 2 - 1, Savunov D. (G),
04:46, 3 - 1, Suvorov A. (G), Kodola V. (A), Pautov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
12:14, 3 - 2, Boluchevsky A. (G), Utkin M. (A),
13:30, 4 - 2, Khanin M. (G), Rakhimullin D. (A), Sato Y. (A2)
18:28, 5 - 2, Rakhimullin D. (G), Suvorov A. (A), Kanarsky I. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM won 4.

AKM has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Dizel is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

AKM could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for AKM in today's match, at odds of 2.09.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, AKM has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:18 (averaging 2.4:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for AKM against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:8 goals (averaging 1.6:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	AKM	20	10	1	5	4	58:48	27
26	Dizel	17	3	3	2	9	33:42	14

Last Results with these Odds

AKM - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 49.04%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Dizel Penza - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 27.31%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Tula
VHL
19.09.26	AKM - Tambov	7:5 ✺
17.09.26	AKM - Buran Voronezh	1:1 OT ✺
12.09.26	Omskie Krylia - AKM	1:2 ✺
10.09.26	Zauralie Kurgan - AKM	2:3 ✺
08.09.26	Rubin Tyumen - AKM	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLWWW
- Dizel Penza
VHL
21.09.26	Ryazan - Dizel Penza	4:3 OT ✺
11.09.26	Dizel Penza - Bars Kazan	1:3 ✺
09.09.26	Dizel Penza - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:3 ✺
07.09.26	Dizel Penza - CSK VVS Samara	2:1 penalties ✺
03.09.26	Kristall Saratov - Dizel Penza	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
08.02.26	AKM - Dizel Penza	2:1 penalties
10.10.25	Dizel Penza - AKM	2:3 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
09.08.25	Dizel Penza - AKM	3:1
VHL
24.12.24	Dizel Penza - AKM	1:4
20.11.24	AKM - Dizel Penza	3:0
26.12.23	AKM - Dizel Penza	2:3
18.10.23	Dizel Penza - AKM	1:2 OT

AKM - Dizel Penza