Match Info

VHL

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Dizel-Arena (Penza) 🌤️ ...


	Dizel Penza		Bars Kazan

	1	X	2
	2.23	3.33	2.57
	2.16	3.2	2.45
	2.32	3.75	2.67	Watch
	2.24	3.7	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.69)	3.5 ↓ (3.84)	2.56 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dizel Penza
39.8%

Draw
25.5%

Bars Kazan
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

24.4%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

26.5%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bars Kazan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dizel Penza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bars Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Dizel Penza - Bars Kazan Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Dizel will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dizel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
27. Arzamastsev A. (G)	80. Chibizov A. (G)
96. Dryagilev A.	24. Bogatov N.
79. Tikhonov M.	39. Almetkin V.
70. Gazizov R.	17. Gizatullin D.
87. Mingaleyev D. (A)	9. Alshevsky S.
33. Mukhanov T.	71. Shiksatdarov I.
Line 2
25. Rudakov G.	53. Makhmutov A.
83. Sukhov S.	18. Abrosimov R.
22. Bain M.	90. Ibragimov T.
7. Savunov D.	98. Saberzyanov M.
97. Borisenkov A.	93. Barsukov I.
Line 3
75. Pogorishny O. (C)	62. Naumov G.
59. Nikitin Y.	60. Lisov N.
11. Andriyanov A.	41. Klimkin I.
47. Bobylyov V. (A)	28. Golubev D.
69. Boluchevsky A.	23. Zinovyev D.
Line 4
5. Gafarov G.	76. Nikitin
84. Utkin M.	84. Safin A.
81. Mayorov N.	96. Andreev E.
91. Opolinsky M.	55. Sherstnyov D.
	11. Gimaev S.
Substitutes
23. Chesnokov G.	70. Konovalov M. (G)
52. Dagestansky D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
01:38, 0 - 1, Zinovyev D. (G), Klimkin I. (A),
19:13, 1 - 1, Gazizov R. (G), Mingaleyev D. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
00:48, 1 - 2, Shiksatdarov I. (G), Abrosimov R. (A), Bogatov N. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
01:46, 1 - 3, Saberzyanov M. (G), Lisov N. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 2.

Dizel has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bars's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dizel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dizel has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 44:51. (average 2.2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Dizel won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 2:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
16	Bars	17	9	0	1	7	42:52	19
24	Dizel	17	3	3	2	9	33:42	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizel Penza
VHL
09.09.26	Dizel Penza - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:3 ✺
07.09.26	Dizel Penza - CSK VVS Samara	2:1 penalties ✺
03.09.26	Kristall Saratov - Dizel Penza	3:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.26	Dizel Penza - Kristall Saratov	1:3 ✺
27.08.26	Dizel Penza - CSK VVS Samara	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLW
- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
09.09.26	Tambov - Bars Kazan	2:1 OT ✺
07.09.26	Buran Voronezh - Bars Kazan	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	Bars Kazan - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	0:3 ✺
25.08.26	Bars Kazan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Bars Kazan - Izhstal	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
28.01.26	Bars Kazan - Dizel Penza	1:2 OT
19.10.25	Dizel Penza - Bars Kazan	1:2 penalties
17.03.25	Dizel Penza - Bars Kazan	0:4
06.09.24	Bars Kazan - Dizel Penza	1:5
18.02.24	Bars Kazan - Dizel Penza	3:2
02.09.23	Dizel Penza - Bars Kazan	1:3
23.12.22	Dizel Penza - Bars Kazan	3:1

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