Match Info

VHL

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Tula)


	AKM		Izhstal

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.72	2.48
	2.48	3.94	2.43	Watch
	2.35	3.85	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.46)	3.84 ↑ (3.73)	2.42 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKM
37.8%

Draw
24.1%

Izhstal
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

24.7%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AKM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Izhstal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AKM - Izhstal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Kanarsky I. (G)	34. Tabatchikov V. (G)
25. Puchkov Y. (C)	81. Glinsky M.
71. Zaitsev D. (A)	26. Petrikov Y. (A)
94. Mitrofanov A. (A)	17. Dyuryagin D. (A)
90. Komissarov L.	10. Astashevsky S.
52. Lapshin I.	61. Nazarevich A.
Line 2
3. Zhurakov D.	98. Yanchevsky M.
38. Bulygin D.	50. Zhdanov Y.
10. Nazarov M.	28. Alekseev A.
13. Bryntsev M.	27. Pukelo K.
36. Shumilin Y.	39. Kovalyov A.
Line 3
24. Alishlalov M.	11. Slepkov I.
98. Novikov N.	23. Glebov G. (C)
21. Makarov R.	25. Shiksatdarov I.
70. Dyukarev V.	57. Yepishchev I.
12. Rybakov V.	70. Shilov A.
Line 4
56. Kalmykov D.	82. Murylev A.
58. Semak N.	21. Pugachyov A.
47. Bulatov D.	59. Dolgopyatov N.
77. Sharifyanov T.	41. Yerofeyev A.
29. Kaburov G.
Substitutes
91. Pastukh V. (G)	31. Lubsky M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 4)
01:22, 0 - 1, Shilov A. (G), Shiksatdarov I. (A), Yepishchev I. (A2)
05:43, 1 - 1, Mitrofanov A. (G), Puchkov Y. (A), Komissarov L. (A2)
09:07, 1 - 2, Astashevsky S. (G), Glinsky M. (A), Petrikov Y. (A2)
17:58, 1 - 3, Nazarevich A. (G), Dyuryagin D. (A), Astashevsky S. (A2)
19:34, 1 - 4, Dyuryagin D. (G), Astashevsky S. (A), Nazarevich A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:41, 1 - 5, Pukelo K. (G), Alekseev A. (A), Petrikov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
04:45, 1 - 6, Zhdanov Y. (G), Alekseev A. (A), Kovalyov A. (A2)
06:54, 2 - 6, Kaburov G. (G), Semak N. (A), Sharifyanov T. (A2)
12:02, 2 - 7, Zhdanov Y. (G), Shiksatdarov I. (A), Yepishchev I. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

AKM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Izhstal has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, AKM won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, AKM won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 3.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	AKM	12	7	0	3	2	38:29	17
28	Izhevsk	11	1	2	1	7	25:34	7

Last Results with these Odds

AKM - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.31%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Tula
VHL
10.02.26	AKM - Kristall Saratov	2:4 ✺
08.02.26	AKM - Dizel Penza	2:1 penalties ✺
30.01.26	Chelny - AKM	2:1 OT ✺
28.01.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - AKM	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	CSK VVS Samara - AKM	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLLW
- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
09.02.26	Izhstal - Chelny	1:2 OT ✺
07.02.26	Izhstal - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:5 ✺
05.02.26	Izhstal - CSK VVS Samara	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Izhstal - Bars Kazan	2:3 OT ✺
28.01.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Izhstal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
28.09.25	Izhstal - AKM	3:1
15.02.25	Izhstal - AKM	3:4 penalties
06.10.24	AKM - Izhstal	3:0
15.12.23	Izhstal - AKM	1:4
25.10.23	AKM - Izhstal	3:1
11.12.22	AKM - Izhstal	4:1
04.11.22	Izhstal - AKM	5:2

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