Match Info

VHL

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Izhevsk) 🌤️ ...


	Izhstal		CSK VVS Samara

	1	X	2
	2.54	3.64	2.38
	2.52	3.9	2.39	Watch
	2.3	4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.15)	3.85 ↑ (3.81)	2.37 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izhstal
37.4%

Draw
23.9%

CSK VVS Samara
38.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

24.1%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izhstal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Izhstal's form might have worsened.

CSK VVS Samara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CSK VVS Samara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Izhstal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSK VVS Samara than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CSK VVS Samara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Izhstal - CSK VVS Samara Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Tabatchikov V. (G)	90. Ovcharik D. (G)
81. Glinsky M.	8. Gorbunov K.
26. Petrikov Y. (A)	89. Karpov A.
17. Dyuryagin D. (A)	63. Groshev Y. (C)
10. Astashevsky S.	11. Mustafin R.
61. Nazarevich A.	75. Dyadenkin D.
Line 2
98. Yanchevsky M.	64. Belousov M.
50. Zhdanov Y.	17. Kalabushkin E.
28. Alekseev A.	13. Demchenko V.
78. Sokolov S.	19. Galimov A.
39. Kovalyov A.	94. Anop D. (A)
Line 3
11. Slepkov I.	96. Ganabin Y.
23. Glebov G. (C)	61. Vafin K.
25. Shiksatdarov I.	22. Kuznetsov A.
57. Yepishchev I.	32. Barabanov V.
70. Shilov A.	52. Grishakov A.
Line 4
45. Nazarko A.	18. Safonov I.
21. Pugachyov A.	86. Khokhlachev T.
36. Poyarkov D.	81. Litvinov I.
59. Dolgopyatov N.	43. Ozhgikhin A. (A)
Substitutes
29. Kruzhenkov Y.	71. Popov D. (G)
31. Lubsky M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
16:26, 1 - 0, Alekseev A. (G), Nazarevich A. (A), Astashevsky S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
18:31, 2 - 0, Nazarevich A. (G), Dyuryagin D. (A),
19', 2 - 1, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 1.

Recent form of Izhstal has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

CSK VVS's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

CSK VVS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, CSK VVS has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 52:69. (average 2.6:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Izhstal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:34. (average 2.4:3.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
28	CSK VVS	18	3	1	2	12	35:62	10
30	Izhevsk	18	2	2	2	12	40:57	10

Last Results with these Odds

CSK VVS Samara - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.08%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
03.02.26	Izhstal - Bars Kazan	2:3 OT ✺
28.01.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Izhstal	1:3 ✺
26.01.26	SKA-VMF - Izhstal	4:2 ✺
22.01.26	Izhstal - Norilsk	1:6 ✺
19.01.26	Izhstal - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- CSK VVS Samara
VHL
01.02.26	CSK VVS Samara - Kristall Saratov	4:1 ✺
30.01.26	CSK VVS Samara - Dizel Penza	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	CSK VVS Samara - Ryazan	3:5 ✺
26.01.26	CSK VVS Samara - AKM	0:2 ✺
22.01.26	CSK VVS Samara - Chelny	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
10.10.25	CSK VVS Samara - Izhstal	4:6
14.12.24	Izhstal - CSK VVS Samara	1:2 penalties
04.12.24	CSK VVS Samara - Izhstal	4:3 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
24.08.24	CSK VVS Samara - Izhstal	4:1
VHL
19.01.24	CSK VVS Samara - Izhstal	5:4 OT
30.09.23	Izhstal - CSK VVS Samara	1:7
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.23	Izhstal - CSK VVS Samara	2:7

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