The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Acroni Jesenice 53.2%
Draw 19.4%
Kitzbühel 27.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.1%
19.5%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
21.3%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Acroni Jesenice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Kitzbühel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acroni Jesenice than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitzbühel than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Acroni Jesenice - Kitzbühel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Ulcar M. (G)
33. Gratzer M. (G)
29. Magovac A.
94. Bruckner P.
15. Slibar O.
98. Lattner J.
55. Sabolic R.
21. Holler A.
70. Kapel R.
20. Krainz C.
22. Svetina E.
29. Stahlberg E.
Line 2
4. Zupancic A.
14. Podlipnik M.
8. Urukalo Z.
53. Ebner M.
20. Koblar G.
88. Aigner R.
18. Jakupovic A.
8. Livsics D.
42. Sturm J.
66. Sloboda M.
Line 3
68. Wyatt J.
40. Posch B.
69. Oblak M.
17. Barnthaler M.
71. Burgar N.
12. Hanl M.
13. Leben Z.
9. Waschnig L.
77. Baloh D.
37. Engelhart J.
Line 4
24. Berc M.
44. Nindler E.
44. Mlakar T.
27. Engelhart L.
14. Sturm N.
19. Aigner J.
7. Marn V.
21. Zalokar G.
Substitutes
31. Dukaric J. (G)
35. Sprachmann J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
01:38, 1 - 0, Leben Z. (G), Wyatt J. (A), Baloh D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:40, 2 - 0, Sabolic R. (G), Kapel R. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:25, 2 - 1, Livsics D. (G), Stahlberg E. (A), Podlipnik M. (A2)
19:06, 3 - 1, Sturm J. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Acroni Jesenice won 2.
Acroni Jesenice has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Kitzbühel have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Acroni Jesenice may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Acroni Jesenice holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Acroni Jesenice has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 75:51 (averaging 3.8:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Acroni Jesenice against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 40:26 goals (averaging 4:2.6 per game).