The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Acroni Jesenice 34.8%
Draw 22%
Kitzbühel 43.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
22.5%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
24.3%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Acroni Jesenice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Acroni Jesenice's form might have worsened.
Kitzbühel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kitzbühel's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acroni Jesenice than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Acroni Jesenice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitzbühel than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kitzbühel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Acroni Jesenice - Kitzbühel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Ulcar M. (G)
30. Gratzer M. (G)
15. Slibar O.
14. Podlipnik M.
88. Zajc M.
8. Matzka M.
84. Slivnik L.
24. Crnkic M.
55. Bohinc M.
15. Frowis J.
22. Svetina E.
37. Engelhart J.
Line 2
86. Bohinc R.
41. Pfeffer J.
8. Urukalo Z.
4. Mitrovic M.
10. Jenko J.
57. Maximov K.
72. Burgar N.
26. Bretschneider N.
20. Koblar G.
86. Loshing Y.
Line 3
21. Hebar T.
94. Bruckner P.
19. Sojer T.
91. Wetzl N.
97. Mehle Z.
11. Hochfilzer H.
13. Zalokar G.
78. Maxa A.
42. Sturm J.
93. Ketonen N.
Line 4
69. Oblak M.
18. Cernik D.
26. Adrovic D.
5. Muller L.
77. Baloh D.
12. Hanl M.
5. Pecnik J.
22. Waschnig L.
83. Kumanovic L.
44. Sintschnig J.
Substitutes
33. Us Z. (G)
35. Grascher P. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 1)
01:10, 0 - 1, Loshing Y. (G), Maximov K. (A),
03:05, 1 - 1, Bohinc M. (G), Slivnik L. (A), Slibar O. (A2)
09:27, 2 - 1, Slivnik L. (G), Jenko J. (A), Svetina E. (A2)
17:00, 3 - 1, Sturm J. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
19:22, 4 - 1, Slivnik L. (G), Svetina E. (A), Bohinc R. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
04:07, 4 - 2, Crnkic M. (G), Mitrovic M. (A), Matzka M. (A2)
04:30, 5 - 2, Slivnik L. (G), Svetina E. (A),
13:02, 5 - 3, Crnkic M. (G), Muller L. (A), Engelhart J. (A2)
16:15, 5 - 4, Crnkic M. (G), Frowis J. (A), Podlipnik M. (A2)
Preview
Acroni Jesenice is Alps Hockey League (Losers stage )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Acroni Jesenice won 2.
Acroni Jesenice is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kitzbühel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Kitzbühel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Acroni Jesenice won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 75:50. (average 3.8:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Acroni Jesenice won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:22. (average 3.9:2.4).
Italy
Slovakia
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Ulcar M. (G) 
Gratzer M. (G) 
Maximov K. 
Loshing Y. 
Ketonen N. 
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