Match Info

National League - Round 3

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Raiffeisen Arena (Porrentruy)


	Ajoie		ZSC Lions

	1	X	2
	4.00	4.50	1.70	Watch
	4.00	4.50	1.67
	3.70	4.10	1.75
	4.07	4.36	1.68
	4.17	4.51	1.65	Watch
	4.00	4.30	1.65
	4.25	4.56	1.69	Watch
	3.85	4.30	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↓ (4.64)	4.39 ↑ (4.37)	1.69 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajoie
23.3%

Draw
21.3%

ZSC Lions
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

21.4%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

22.2%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajoie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ZSC Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ZSC Lions than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Ajoie - ZSC Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ajoie will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). ZSC Lions will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Keller A. (G)	30. Hrubec S. (G)
3. Honka A. (C)	6. Weber Y.
58. Zgraggen J.	56. Berni T.
32. Turkulainen J.	10. Andrighetto S.
27. Tanus K.	62. Malgin D.
74. Nattinen J.	36. Knak S.
Line 2
60. Honka J.	46. Kukan D.
26. Fey K.	54. Marti Ch.
13. Robin L.	28. Froden J.
17. Smirnovs D.	83. Lammikko J.
7. Carr D.	38. Balcers R.
Line 3
16. Kellenberger M.	4. Geering P. (C)
91. Berthoud Y.	33. Schwendeler J.
78. Sopa K.	88. Stromwall M.
8. Devos P.	27. Grant D.
20. Cormier C.	18. Baechler N.
Line 4
15. Christe G.	84. Niedermann N.
2. Pilet V.	8. Riedi W.
19. Wick J.	13. Sigrist J.
86. Diem N.	73. Gruber K.
73. Cavalleri C.
Substitutes
29. Patenaude N. (G)	14. Baltisberger Ch.
	40. Zumbuhl R. (G)
Coaches
. Peltonen V.	. Julien C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
14:57, 0 - 1, Balcers R. (G), Froden J. (A), Schwendeler J. (A2)
17:31, Weber Y. (2 min),
19:47, Zgraggen J. (2 min),
19:47, Malgin D. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:46, Stromwall M. (2 min),
11:36, 1 - 1, Robin L. (G), Smirnovs D. (A),
16:07, Andrighetto S. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
05:18, 1 - 2, Baltisberger Ch. (G), Riedi W. (A), Sigrist J. (A2)
09:15, Diem N. (2 min),
16:39, 1 - 3, Malgin D. (G), Knak S. (A), Andrighetto S. (A2)
18:51, 2 - 3, Devos P. (G), Honka A. (A), Tanus K. (A2)
19:52, 2 - 4, Berni T. (G), Malgin D. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajoie won 1.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Recently, ZSC Lions has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to ZSC Lions for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ajoie has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:76 (averaging 1.9:3.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ajoie against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 18:37 goals (averaging 1.8:3.7 per game).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Zurich: 23.46% Ajoie: 0.9%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Zurich	9	7	2	0	0	37:20	25
6	Ajoie	10	2	3	2	3	30:34	14

Last Results with these Odds

Ajoie - the odds 4.64 are the expected chance of winning is 20.15%, but this team recently wins 6% of matches with these odds.

ZSC Lions - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.45%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Ajoie
Swiss National League Hockey
19.09.26	Ajoie - EHC Kloten	4:3 OT ✺
18.09.26	Genève-Servette - Ajoie	3:4 penalties ✺
15.09.26	Ajoie - Ambrì-Piotta	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
08.09.26	Ajoie - Schwenninger Wild Wings	4:3 AET ✺
03.09.26	EHC Basel - Ajoie	2:3 AET
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWLWW
- ZSC Lions
Swiss National League Hockey
19.09.26	ZSC Lions - Genève-Servette	3:0 ✺
18.09.26	SCL Tigers - ZSC Lions	3:4 ✺
15.09.26	ZSC Lions - Bern	5:3 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
11.09.26	ZSC Lions - Bern	2:5 ✺
03.09.26	ZSC Lions - Schwenninger Wild Wings	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
24.02.26	ZSC Lions - Ajoie	2:1
06.01.26	Ajoie - ZSC Lions	3:5
21.11.25	ZSC Lions - Ajoie	2:3
12.09.25	Ajoie - ZSC Lions	0:4
12.02.25	ZSC Lions - Ajoie	4:0
25.01.25	Ajoie - ZSC Lions	2:3 OT
22.11.24	Ajoie - ZSC Lions	2:1

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