The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ajoie 31.1%
Draw 22.6%
Bern 46.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.3%
22.6%
48.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
23.8%
45.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajoie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Bern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bern than the current prediction. (-1%)
Ajoie - Bern Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th in the Promotion - National League Promotion - Playoffs and 6th in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajoie won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bern holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ajoie has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 46:67 (averaging 2.3:3.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ajoie against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 22:31 goals (averaging 2.2:3.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Bern
15
6
2
3
4
41:38
25
9
Ajoie
17
4
4
2
7
53:58
22
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Bern: 7.92% Ajoie: 1.13%
Last Results with these Odds
Bern - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.13%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.