Match Info

National League - Round 35

Date: 2 January 2026, Friday

Location: Raiffeisen Arena (Porrentruy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	Ajoie		Bern

	1	X	2
	4	4.5	1.7	Watch
	3.5	4.25	1.83
	3.75	4.3	1.77
	3.75	4.3	1.77	Watch
	3.5	4.2	1.67
	3.87	4.35	1.79	Watch
	3.5	4	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (3.64)	4.27 ↓ (4.29)	1.75 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajoie
25.2%

Draw
21.8%

Bern
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

21.8%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

21.4%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajoie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Bern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bern than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Ajoie - Bern Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Ciaccio D. (G)	36. Reideborn A. (G)
26. Fey K. (C)	58. Loeffel R.
3. Honka A.	37. Lindholm A.
32. Turkulainen J.	23. Lehmann M.
8. Devos P.	15. Aaltonen M.
74. Nattinen J.	9. Ejdsell V.
Line 2
15. Christe G.	65. Untersander R. (C)
33. Friman N.	44. Kreis S.
4. Hazen J.	19. Merela W.
19. Wick J.	83. Muller M.
95. Bozon K.	64. Alge M.
Line 3
2. Pilet V.	75. Yakovenko A.
91. Berthoud Y.	41. Kindschi S.
20. Cormier C.	86. Vermin J.
73. Cavalleri C.	43. Graf A.
71. Mottet K.	8. Marchon M.
Line 4
90. Fischer J.	14. Fullemann L.
78. Sopa K.	88. Schild T.
70. Romanenghi M.	91. Ritzmann F.
87. Pedretti M.	10. Scherwey T.
Substitutes
28. Haller F. (G)	17. Moser L.
14. Veckaktins E.	33. Zurkirchen S. (G)
Coaches
. Ireland G.	. Ehlers H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:58, 1 - 0, Cavalleri C. (G), Berthoud Y. (A), Cormier C. (A2)
15:20, 2 - 0, Hazen J. (G), Honka A. (A), Bozon K. (A2)
16:59, 2 - 1, Graf A. (G), Marchon M. (A), Loeffel R. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
07:45, Graf A. (2 min),
07:45, Fey K. (2 min),
10:50, 2 - 2, Merela W. (G), Ejdsell V. (A), Aaltonen M. (A2)
17:30, 2 - 3, Ejdsell V. (G), Merela W. (A), Loeffel R. (A2)
18:46, 2 - 4, Untersander R. (G),
19:17, 3 - 4, Turkulainen J. (G), Honka A. (A), Nattinen J. (A2)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone National League (Play Out: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajoie won 2.

Ajoie is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Bern has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Ajoie has had a series of away games.

Bern will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Ajoie won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 40:65. (average 2.1:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ajoie won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1.9:3).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Bern: 7.51% Ajoie: 0.88%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Ajoie	10	2	3	2	3	30:34	14
8	Bern	8	3	0	3	2	25:25	12

Last Results with these Odds

Ajoie - the odds 3.64 are the expected chance of winning is 25.68%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Bern - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.52%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Ajoie
Swiss National League Hockey
23.12.25	Ambrì-Piotta - Ajoie	2:5 ✺
22.12.25	Lugano - Ajoie	6:1 ✺
19.12.25	Ajoie - Lausanne HC	3:4 OT ✺
17.12.25	Fribourg-Gottéron - Ajoie	4:2 ✺
06.12.25	Genève-Servette - Ajoie	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLLL
- SC Bern
Swiss National League Hockey
23.12.25	Bern - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	3:2 penalties ✺
22.12.25	Lausanne HC - Bern	2:3 OT ✺
19.12.25	Bern - Davos	2:3 OT ✺
07.12.25	Lugano - Bern	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Bern - SCL Tigers	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
28.10.25	Bern - Ajoie	4:5
20.09.25	Ajoie - Bern	4:0
21.02.25	Ajoie - Bern	1:4
10.01.25	Bern - Ajoie	5:1
27.11.24	Bern - Ajoie	6:3
01.10.24	Ajoie - Bern	0:5
29.02.24	Ajoie - Bern	1:3

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