Match Info

Championship

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Aktobe Sports Palace (Aktobe) 🌤️ ...


	Aktobe		Ertis Pavlodar

	1	X	2
	1.52	5.17	4.23	Watch
	1.53	4.7	4.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.52)	4.94 ↓ (5.17)	4.39 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aktobe
60.4%

Draw
18.7%

Ertis Pavlodar
21%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.5%

17.8%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

17.3%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Ertis Pavlodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Ertis Pavlodar aligns with the current prediction.

Aktobe - Ertis Pavlodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Dubovich M. (G)	1. Kakenov R. (G)
71. Argymabayev S.	70. Akpirganov A.
76. Gerasimov Y.	44. Antselm B.
86. Kalinichenko M.	90. Bekbayev M.
8. Komarov V. (A)	95. Demirdelen B.
21. Kursakbayev R.	47. Dyachenko D.
11. Miller D.	14. Gebel I.
18. Mozzherin M.	79. Igushkin N.
95. Nadeikin D.	12. Indyukov K.
47. Petrov A. (C)	15. Kladov V.
97. Plotnikov V. (A)	13. Larikov A.
66. Polenov M.	19. Maltsev N.
12. Potapov S.	77. Pak K. (A)
17. Saiko V.	22. Panteley S.
28. Shaikenov Y.	57. Pidyashov D.
5. Timofeyev I.	80. Shlychkov V. (C)
87. Tsikhotsky D.	81. Smelov N.
15. Zizevskikh V.	10. Tashimov D.
	28. Yemelyanov N.
	55. Yevloyev A. (A)
	9. Zhabunin V.
Substitutes
31. Kostyukov I. (G)	30. Chelaidyuk S. (G)
90. Yershov M. (G)	50. Nechviyenko V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
13:44, 1 - 0, Nadeikin D. (G), Tsikhotsky D. (A), Gerasimov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 5.

Aktobe is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ertis is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Aktobe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ertis has had a series of away games.

In this match, Aktobe is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 16 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 93:51. (average 4.7:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Aktobe won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 48:20. (average 4.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Aktobe
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
19.10.25	Aktobe - Almaty	1:4 ✺
18.10.25	Aktobe - Almaty	1:3 ✺
15.10.25	Arlan Kokshetau - Aktobe	3:0 ✺
14.10.25	Arlan Kokshetau - Aktobe	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Aktobe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 46 LLLWL
- HC Ertis Pavlodar
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
19.10.25	Nomad - Ertis Pavlodar	10:2
21.09.25	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Ertis Pavlodar	12:1 ✺
12.09.25	Arlan Kokshetau - Ertis Pavlodar	5:1 ✺
11.09.25	Arlan Kokshetau - Ertis Pavlodar	3:2 ✺
08.09.25	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Ertis Pavlodar	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
07.01.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe	2:4
06.01.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe	3:6
20.09.24	Aktobe - Ertis Pavlodar	5:4
19.09.24	Aktobe - Ertis Pavlodar	8:2
Kazakh Ice Hockey Cup
28.08.24	Aktobe - Ertis Pavlodar	5:2
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
15.01.24	Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe	3:4 OT
21.11.23	Aktobe - Ertis Pavlodar	6:3

Aktobe - Ertis Pavlodar