The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amiens 54.4%
Draw 20.8%
Gap 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.6%
20.2%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.7%
19.9%
24.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Gap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Amiens - Gap Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
37. Gravel A. (G)
30. Scarfone T. (G)
19. Barriga E.
79. Abramov N. (A)
13. Benoit E.
15. Bouvet M.
4. Bergeron J. (C)
11. Brassard J.
93. Bernier G.
6. Chauvin L.
34. Besson N.
9. Collin C.
94. Craig K. (A)
48. Dorey A.
16. Di Dio Balsamo C.
13. Esipov I.
73. Djemel I.
19. Fauchon Q.
91. Gauffriau V.
12. Kyte P.
92. Girouard N.
53. Matus R. (C)
9. Hinam T.
14. Murnieks D.
55. Lemaitre B.
24. Nicholson R.
79. Magee B.
93. Nieminen K.
43. Mony M.
73. Raveaud H.
11. Plagnat A. (A)
55. Rylance B.
23. Schmitt C.
29. Simond C.
52. Seitz N.
17. Tsekos Z. (A)
63. Vertanen J.
16. Zago B.
Substitutes
30. Thirion M. (G)
57. Darier J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
05:58, 1 - 0, Seitz N. (G), Barriga E. (A), Hinam T. (A2)
13:06, 1 - 1, Fauchon Q. (G), Raveaud H. (A), Zago B. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:40, 1 - 2, Fauchon Q. (G), Collin C. (A), Brassard J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
14:44, 1 - 3, Murnieks D. (G),
15:11, 2 - 3, Seitz N. (G), Barriga E. (A), Hinam T. (A2)
18:30, 2 - 4, Kyte P. (G), Murnieks D. (A),
18:54, 2 - 5, Nieminen K. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 2.
Amiens has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Gap have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Amiens is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Amiens has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 72:54 (averaging 3.6:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Amiens against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 47:24 goals (averaging 4.7:2.4 per game).