The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gap 33.4%
Draw 22.9%
Spartiates de Marseille 43.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.7%
21.8%
50.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.8%
22.1%
51.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gap's performance.
Spartiates de Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartiates de Marseille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gap that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartiates de Marseille than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartiates de Marseille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gap - Spartiates de Marseille Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Scarfone T. (G)
39. Kasik L. (G)
79. Abramov N.
41. Cantagallo E.
15. Bouvet M.
20. Chapuis M.
11. Brassard J.
16. Colotti F.
9. Collin C.
37. Corvez M.
48. Dorey A.
17. Coulaud Y.
7. Escallier A.
23. Dair F.
13. Esipov I.
44. Dufek J.
19. Fauchon Q.
21. Gradin A.
12. Kyte P.
8. Ishida R.
40. Manciot B.
38. Ivanov S.
53. Matus R.
12. Joubert P.
14. Murnieks D.
13. Larinmaa J.
24. Nicholson R.
95. Limtong S.
93. Nieminen K.
27. MacIntyre B.
73. Raveaud H.
98. Nilsson A.
29. Simond C.
53. Petersson B.
17. Tsekos Z.
24. Spinozzi K.
16. Zago B.
29. Tavernier E.
Substitutes
57. Darier J. (G)
33. Gourdin F. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:36, 0 - 1, Larinmaa J. (G), Gradin A. (A), Nilsson A. (A2)
05:04, 0 - 2, MacIntyre B. (G), Ishida R. (A),
14:23, 1 - 2, Fauchon Q. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:20, 2 - 2, Collin C. (G), Kyte P. (A), Tsekos Z. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, MacIntyre B. (Penalty Shot),
1, Murnieks D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Spinozzi K. (Penalty Shot),
2, Tsekos Z. (Penalty Shot),
3, Gradin A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Bouvet M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Limtong S. (Penalty Shot),
4, Kyte P. (Penalty Shot),
5, Dufek J. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gap won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Marseille is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Gap in today's match, at odds of 3.29.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Gap has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:43 (averaging 2.4:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gap against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 22:18 goals (averaging 3.1:2.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Marseille
15
7
2
3
3
48:40
28
10
Gap
14
3
3
1
7
34:50
16
Last Results with these Odds
Gap - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.74%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Scarfone T. (G) 
Kasik L. (G) 
Abramov N. 
Brassard J. 
Gradin A. 
Ishida R. 
Ivanov S. 
Murnieks D. 
Larinmaa J. 
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