Match Info

MHL

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Amurskie Tigry		Krasnaya Armiya

	1	X	2
	3.25	4.01	1.94
	3.20	3.95	1.92
	3.41	4.30	1.80	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.86)	4.09 ↓ (4.4)	1.89 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amurskie Tigry
28.2%

Draw
22.7%

Krasnaya Armiya
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

20.9%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

19.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amurskie Tigry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Krasnaya Armiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Krasnaya Armiya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amurskie Tigry than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnaya Armiya than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Amurskie Tigry - Krasnaya Armiya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Amurskie Tigry (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Lemeshko K. (G)	41. Petukhov M. (G)
99. Matyev Y.	82. Trofimov Y.
22. Doroshenko M. (C)	93. Adamov Y.
7. Semikhin D.	52. Poroshkov D. (C)
25. Borin B.	85. Kabisov L.
67. Kochurin S.	8. Artyom M. (A)
Line 2
44. Ivanov I.	59. Deyev L.
96. Kulyushin S.	47. Khadzhimuradov M.
71. Alekseichuk S. (A)	99. Zaitsev M.
74. Krasovsky A.	96. Ermolov D.
78. Saksonin G.	29. Sidorov P.
Line 3
39. Vikonchin R.	48. Paramonov K.
15. Voilukov A.	46. Rossinsky I.
97. Vagapov D. (A)	91. Petrov A.
43. Samsonov Y.	60. Filippov A.
37. Savilovich A.	12. Popov Y.
Line 4
87. Patanen A.	68. Poss I.
49. Lutsenko A.	76. Zhukov G.
81. Kolodyazhnyi A.	25. Nikolaev D.
86. Anatsky D.	6. Denisov M.
27. Bodnar A.
Substitutes
35. Podorozhny M. (G)	57. Dubrovin K. (G)
	67. Voronov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
02:34, 1 - 0, Anatsky D. (G), Kolodyazhnyi A. (A),
14:33, 2 - 0, Kochurin S. (G), Borin B. (A), Anatsky D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
11:35, 2 - 1, Poroshkov D. (G), Ermolov D. (A),
13:40, 2 - 2, Ermolov D. (G), Poroshkov D. (A), Artyom M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Borin B. (Penalty Shot),
1, Zaitsev M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kochurin S. (Penalty Shot),
2, Ermolov D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Krasovsky A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Poroshkov D. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amurskie Tigry won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Krasnaya Armiya could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Krasnaya Armiya holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Amurskie Tigry in today's match, at odds of 3.51.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Amurskie Tigry has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:75 (averaging 2.1:3.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Amurskie Tigry against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 18:30 goals (averaging 2:3.3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Amurskie Tigry - the odds 3.86 are the expected chance of winning is 23.79%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amurskie Tigry
MHL
02.10.26	Amurskie Tigry - MHC Spartak	4:3 ✺
28.09.26	Amurskie Tigry - Tayfun	5:3 ✺
26.09.26	Amurskie Tigry - Krylya Sovetov	1:2 AET ✺
24.09.26	Amurskie Tigry - Krylya Sovetov	3:2 penalties ✺
15.09.26	SKA-1946 - Amurskie Tigry	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWLWL
- Krasnaya Armiya
MHL
01.10.26	Krasnaya Armiya - Dinamo-Shinnik	2:3 penalties ✺
29.09.26	Krasnaya Armiya - Dinamo-Shinnik	1:4 ✺
23.09.26	Krasnaya Armiya - Avto	2:5 ✺
21.09.26	Krasnaya Armiya - SKA-Akademiya	5:1 ✺
16.09.26	Krasnaya Armiya - Mikhaylov Academy	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
21.02.26	Krasnaya Armiya - Amurskie Tigry	1:2
24.09.25	Amurskie Tigry - Krasnaya Armiya	1:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
24.08.25	Krasnaya Armiya - Amurskie Tigry	7:3
MHL
11.03.25	Krasnaya Armiya - Amurskie Tigry	3:2 penalties
03.11.24	Amurskie Tigry - Krasnaya Armiya	4:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
21.08.24	Krasnaya Armiya - Amurskie Tigry	4:0
MHL
02.02.24	Krasnaya Armiya - Amurskie Tigry	0:5

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