Match Info

WORLD: World Championship

Date: 21 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: O2 Arena (Prague)

Referee: Pearce M. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Austria		Great Britain

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.75	10.75	Watch
	1.25	6.75	8.25
	1.25	7.35	9.35
	1.22	6.83	5.67
	1.23	6.83	5.67
	1.25	7	8
	1.23	7.7	11.1	Watch
	1.24	7.6	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.53)	7.1 ↑ (4.92)	8.5 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austria
75.8%

Draw
13.2%

Great Britain
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

19.1%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

19.5%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austria's performance.

Great Britain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Great Britain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Great Britain than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Great Britain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	7.7%	3.8%

Austria - Great Britain Predictions

Users Predictions: Austria will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Kickert D. (G) Salzburg	33. Bowns B. (G) Cardiff
78. Nickl T. Wheeling Nailers	44. Jones S. Sheffield
91. Heinrich D. (A) Vienna Capitals	79. Halbert N. TWK Innsbruck
96. Huber M. Salzburg	75. Dowd R. (C) Sheffield
70. Nissner B. Salzburg	9. Perlini B. Cardiff
5. Raffl T. (C) Salzburg	94. Neilson C.
Line 2
32. Wolf B. Kloten	13. Phillips D. Belfast
92. Unterweger C. Klagenfurt	28. O'Connor B. Guildford
3. Schneider P. Salzburg	74. Betteridge O. Nottingham
23. Rossi M. Minnesota Wild	91. Lake B. (A) Belfast
16. Zwerger D. Ambri-Piotta	26. Mosey E. Cardiff
Line 3
12. Maier D. Klagenfurt	17. Richardson M. (A) Cardiff
24. Strong S. Klagenfurt	41. Batch J. Cardiff
21. Haudum L. Klagenfurt	48. Curran J. Coventry
98. Baumgartner B. Bern	7. Lachowicz R. Glasgow
17. Ganahl M. (A) Klagenfurt	23. Norris S. Belfast
Line 4
20. Brunner N.	24. Tetlow J. Nottingham
18. Stapelfeld P. Salzburg	16. Duggan S. Cardiff
19. Rohrer V. Zurich	5. Davies B. Cardiff
9. Wukovits A. Salzburg	27. Shudra C. Sheffield
52. Huber P. Graz 99ers
Substitutes
31. Madlener D. (G) Vorarlberg	35. Brine L. (G) Dundee
Coaches
. Bader R.	. Russell P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
11:15, Halbert N. (2 min),
11:15, Huber P. (2 min),
17:02, Jones S. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:47, Dowd R. (2 min),
02:40, 1 - 0, Unterweger C. (G), Zwerger D. (A), Haudum L. (A2)
06:48, (2 min),
06:48, Stapelfeld P. (2 min),
07:44, 1 - 1, O'Connor B. (G), Lake B. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
00:11, Raffl T. (2 min),
01:59, 1 - 2, Perlini B. (G), Dowd R. (A), O'Connor B. (A2)
10:25, 1 - 3, Mosey E. (G), Duggan S. (A), Tetlow J. (A2)
10:52, Shudra C. (2 min),
15:31, 1 - 4, Dowd R. (G), Perlini B. (A),
18:32, Mosey E. (2 min),
19:15, 2 - 4, Huber M. (G), Haudum L. (A), Unterweger C. (A2)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 and 8 in the zone Relegation ~ WCH IA).

Great Britain is Relegated to WCH IA

Recent matches Austria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Great Britain has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Austria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Austria is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Austria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austria hockey
IIHF World Championship
19.05.24	Norway - Austria	1:4 ✺
17.05.24	Czech Republic - Austria	4:0 ✺
16.05.24	Finland - Austria	2:3 ✺
14.05.24	Canada - Austria	7:6 OT ✺
12.05.24	Austria - Switzerland	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 65.1 WLWLL
- Great Britain hockey
IIHF World Championship
20.05.24	Great Britain - Norway	2:5 ✺
18.05.24	Czech Republic - Great Britain	4:1 ✺
17.05.24	Great Britain - Denmark	3:4 ✺
15.05.24	Switzerland - Great Britain	3:0 ✺
12.05.24	Finland - Great Britain	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship
23.05.22	Austria - Great Britain	5:3
IIHF World Championship IA
16.04.12	Austria - Great Britain	N/A

Austria - Great Britain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide