Match Info

Maxa liga - Round 8

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday

Location: Winter stadium Sokolov (Sokolov)


	Baník Sokolov		Frýdek-Místek

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	4.20	2.45
	2.25	3.8	2.5
	2.25	4.08	2.62
	2.2	4.44	2.56	Watch
	2.2	4	2.55
	2.19	3.96	2.5	Watch
	2.19	4.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.19)	4.1 ↓ (4.27)	2.53 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baník Sokolov
41.5%

Draw
22.3%

Frýdek-Místek
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

21.7%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

24%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baník Sokolov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Frýdek-Místek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Sokolov than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baník Sokolov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frýdek-Místek than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Baník Sokolov - Frýdek Místek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
85. Habal V. (G)	77. Dolejs D. (G)
40. Klejna F.	38. Rocak M.
88. Stebih M.	13. Hrbas M. (A)
73. Dalecky J. (A)	29. Matiasko M.
76. Osmik M.	44. Ostrizek D. (C)
12. Vracovsky T.	76. Kofron D. (A)
Line 2
26. Percic M.	63. Zielinski A.
51. Pulpan L. (C)	27. Rasner A.
21. Janata R.	23. Lednicky V.
71. Kverka J. (A)	94. Strondala V.
10. Sik O.	14. Izacky J.
Line 3
81. Vogel J.	24. Prcik M.
25. Rulik A.	72. Prusek P.
94. Csamango S.	21. Haas O.
15. Adamek M.	26. Machacek S.
9. Siler J.	17. Indrst F.
Line 4
77. Dorot O.	8. Volas P.
8. Kucera J.	96. Gerych R.
22. Dommers V.	19. Spevacek V.
23. Slechta R.	92. Svancara R.
Substitutes
31. Dybal A. (G)	3. Javorek M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
05:31, 1 - 0, Dommers V. (G), Slechta R. (A),
10:34, 1 - 1, Machacek S. (G), Indrst F. (A), Haas O. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
04:56, 1 - 2, Strondala V. (G), Izacky J. (A),
19:34, 1 - 3, Lednicky V. (G), Machacek S. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
07:33, 1 - 4, Strondala V. (G), Prusek P. (A),
08:29, 1 - 5, Volas P. (G), Haas O. (A), Indrst F. (A2)
18:00, Sik O. (Penalty Shot),
19:22, 2 - 5, Csamango S. (G), Sik O. (A), Kverka J. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sokolov won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Recently, Frýdek-Místek has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sokolov has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 48:60 (averaging 2.4:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sokolov against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 24:21 goals (averaging 2.7:2.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Frydek-Mistek	11	4	2	1	4	35:33	17
12	Sokolov	11	2	1	2	6	28:39	10

Last Results with these Odds

Baník Sokolov - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.34%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Frýdek-Místek - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.94%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Baník Sokolov
Czech Maxa Liga
26.09.26	Vsetín - Baník Sokolov	4:1 ✺
23.09.26	Baník Sokolov - ZUBR Přerov	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Baník Sokolov - Havířov Panthers	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Baník Sokolov - Dukla Jihlava	6:3 ✺
13.09.26	Kolín - Baník Sokolov	5:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWWL
- HC Frýdek-Místek
Czech Maxa Liga
26.09.26	Frýdek-Místek - Pardubice B	4:1 ✺
23.09.26	Frýdek-Místek - Havířov Panthers	3:2 penalties ✺
19.09.26	Frýdek-Místek - Kolín	3:5 ✺
16.09.26	Frýdek-Místek - Slavia Prague	4:2 ✺
13.09.26	Třebíč - Frýdek-Místek	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Maxa Liga
11.02.26	Baník Sokolov - Frýdek-Místek	4:7
07.12.25	Frýdek-Místek - Baník Sokolov	5:1
09.11.25	Baník Sokolov - Frýdek-Místek	3:2
15.10.25	Frýdek-Místek - Baník Sokolov	5:2
21.02.25	Baník Sokolov - Frýdek-Místek	4:3
08.01.25	Frýdek-Místek - Baník Sokolov	4:5 penalties
22.11.24	Baník Sokolov - Frýdek-Místek	2:3 penalties

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