Match Info

Maxa liga - Round 49

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Winter stadium Chrudim (Chrudim)


	Pardubice B		Frýdek-Místek

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.81	4.05	3.3	Watch
	1.88	4.17	3.33
	1.78	4.55	3.46	Watch
	1.75	4	3.3
	1.8	3.98	3.43
	1.74	4.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 (1.79)	4.18 ↓ (4.22)	3.35 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pardubice B
50.9%

Draw
21.9%

Frýdek-Místek
27.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.9%

22%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

23.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pardubice B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Frýdek-Místek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice B than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frýdek-Místek than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Pardubice B - Frýdek Místek Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
50. Vondras J. (G)	77. Dolejs D. (G)
23. Chabada O.	19. Younan A.
29. Kolar J. (A)	41. Urbanec P.
97. Hercik D.	76. Kofron D.
61. Rakos D. (A)	44. Ostrizek D. (A)
22. Kaplan R.	61. Klimek L. (C)
Line 2
7. Nedbal K. (C)	71. Prusek P.
74. Svec M.	7. Hrbas M.
16. Fejes H.	13. Svacina V.
25. Urban T.	29. Matiasko M.
15. Formanek F.	14. Izacky J.
Line 3
12. Tvrdik V.	20. Volas P.
53. Vozenilek M.	37. Kalkis R.
90. Zalcik L.	81. Haas O.
47. Rouha M.	94. Strondala V.
4. Pavlata D.	24. Cedzo A.
Line 4
43. Lucan A.	91. Teper J. (A)
51. Macek V.	9. Byrtus D.
55. Yevtiekhov O.	47. Ramik M.
87. Kaluzik T.	10. Silar T.
	27. Kozlik M.
Substitutes
33. Matecha L. (G)	3. Forst D. (G)
62. Stepanek J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
03:35, 1 - 0, Macek V. (G), Kaplan R. (A), Yevtiekhov O. (A2)
11:19, 2 - 0, Hercik D. (G), Kaplan R. (A),
16:35, 2 - 1, Haas O. (G), Hrbas M. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
15:03, 2 - 2, Matiasko M. (G), Klimek L. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 2)
09:56, 3 - 2, Hercik D. (G), Formanek F. (A),
11:58, 3 - 3, Ostrizek D. (G), Younan A. (A),
14:31, 3 - 4, Cedzo A. (G), Matiasko M. (A),
18:03, 4 - 4, Macek V. (G),
19:22, 5 - 4, Formanek F. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pardubice B won 1.

Pardubice B has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Frýdek-Místek is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Frýdek-Místek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pardubice B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Pardubice B won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 36:49. (average 2.4:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pardubice B won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 2.9:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Pardubice B	15	9	2	0	4	49:40	31
8	Frydek-Mistek	15	4	2	3	6	44:49	19

Last Results with these Odds

Frýdek-Místek - the odds 3.56 are the expected chance of winning is 26.09%, but this team recently wins 6% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSOB Pojistovna Pardubice B
Czech Maxa Liga
14.02.26	Pardubice B - Baník Sokolov	3:2 OT ✺
11.02.26	Dukla Jihlava - Pardubice B	1:4 ✺
08.02.26	Pardubice B - Slavia Prague	3:0 ✺
05.02.26	Stadion Litoměřice - Pardubice B	1:5 ✺
28.01.26	Pardubice B - Třebíč	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWWWW
- HC Frýdek-Místek
Czech Maxa Liga
14.02.26	Frýdek-Místek - Tábor	5:1 ✺
11.02.26	Baník Sokolov - Frýdek-Místek	4:7 ✺
09.02.26	ZUBR Přerov - Frýdek-Místek	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Frýdek-Místek - Stadion Litoměřice	6:1 ✺
30.01.26	Dukla Jihlava - Frýdek-Místek	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Maxa Liga
29.12.25	Frýdek-Místek - Pardubice B	2:4
17.11.25	Pardubice B - Frýdek-Místek	1:3
08.10.25	Frýdek-Místek - Pardubice B	4:2
24.02.25	Frýdek-Místek - Pardubice B	5:1
11.01.25	Pardubice B - Frýdek-Místek	2:3 penalties
25.11.24	Frýdek-Místek - Pardubice B	6:0
12.10.24	Pardubice B - Frýdek-Místek	4:3

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