Match Info

Elite League

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: SSE Arena (Belfast)


	Belfast Giants		Manchester Storm

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.25	4.75
	1.45	4.7	5
	1.47	4.95	4.85	Watch
	1.48	4.8	4.89
	1.44	4.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.6)	4.82 ↑ (4.51)	4.9 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belfast Giants
62.6%

Draw
18.9%

Manchester Storm
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

20.4%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

22.4%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belfast Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belfast Giants's performance.

Manchester Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belfast Giants than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belfast Giants that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester Storm than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester Storm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Belfast Giants - Manchester Storm Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 2nd Period - Belfast Giants (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Belfast Giants (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Whistle J. (G)	44. Deridder D. (G)
3. Hanson B.	5. Locke K. (C)
7. Irwin R.	4. Busby D.
12. Piccinich J.	14. Ulett L. (A)
10. Conway S.	79. Dudek J.
64. Goodwin D. (C)	84. Caines H.
Line 2
71. Boudrias K.	77. Welsh N.
23. Lee M.	7. Clavelle B.
91. Guay N.	18. Ergang K.
63. Gaudet J.	19. Gilmour B.
29. Kawaguchi J.	29. Cutler B.
Line 3
42. Bast G.	10. Ehrhardt D.
21. McFadden G.	8. Jenion B.
88. Smith R.	9. Hinam T.
9. Lake B. (A)	12. Johnson S. (A)
36. Twarynski C.	23. Haden G.
Line 4
89. Long C. (A)	21. Sullivan Z.
	34. Malone T.
	74. Francis R.
Substitutes
37. Gravel A. (G)	42. de la Bertouche T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
01:11, 1 - 0, Lee M. (G), Kawaguchi J. (A), Guay N. (A2)
04:33, 1 - 1, Francis R. (G),
16:24, 2 - 1, Hanson B. (G), Irwin R. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
10:21, 3 - 1, Gaudet J. (G), Kawaguchi J. (A), McFadden G. (A2)
17:21, 4 - 1, Lake B. (G), Smith R. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belfast Giants won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Belfast Giants may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Belfast Giants has had a series of away games.

In this match, Belfast Giants is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Belfast Giants won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 74:46. (average 3.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Belfast Giants won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:22. (average 3.5:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Manchester	6	2	1	0	3	10:15	6
8	Belfast	1	1	0	0	0	1:0	2

Last Results with these Odds

Belfast Giants - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.49%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belfast Giants
United Kingdom Elite League
10.01.26	Belfast Giants - Nottingham Panthers	4:1 ✺
07.01.26	Dundee Stars - Belfast Giants	4:7 ✺
04.01.26	Coventry Blaze - Belfast Giants	4:3 ✺
03.01.26	Manchester Storm - Belfast Giants	4:6 ✺
31.12.25	Glasgow Clan - Belfast Giants	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW
- Manchester Storm
United Kingdom Elite League
10.01.26	Manchester Storm - Cardiff Devils	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Fife Flyers - Manchester Storm	4:5 penalties ✺
03.01.26	Manchester Storm - Belfast Giants	4:6 ✺
01.01.26	Manchester Storm - Sheffield Steelers	3:0 ✺
30.12.25	Sheffield Steelers - Manchester Storm	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

United Kingdom Elite League
03.01.26	Manchester Storm - Belfast Giants	4:6
15.11.25	Belfast Giants - Manchester Storm	1:2 OT
14.11.25	Belfast Giants - Manchester Storm	6:3
30.03.25	Belfast Giants - Manchester Storm	1:5
28.02.25	Manchester Storm - Belfast Giants	4:3
09.02.25	Belfast Giants - Manchester Storm	3:1
19.01.25	Belfast Giants - Manchester Storm	3:2

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