Match Info

Ligue Magnus - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Patinoire de Mériadeck (Bordeaux)


	Bordeaux		Rouen

	1	X	2
	2.45	4.10	2.25
	2.45	3.75	2.32
	2.47	3.92	2.25
	2.5	4.27	2.3	Watch
	2.4	3.8	2.2
	2.46	3.94	2.23
	2.43	3.95	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.38)	3.96 ↓ (4.22)	2.26 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
37%

Draw
22.9%

Rouen
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

22%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

24.4%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Rouen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rouen than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Bordeaux - Rouen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Papillon Q. (G)	30. Carruth M. (G)
58. Beaudry J.	73. Baptiste N.
8. Boscq J.	10. Colomban R.
72. Bruche B.	93. Cormier T.
11. Carry E.	16. Goncalves-Nivelais N.
20. Dusseau K. (C)	14. Hansson P.
96. Farnier L.	2. Holway P.
86. Fournier S.	13. Lafrance S. (A)
73. Giroux T.	27. Lamperier L. (C)
7. Guidoux T.	81. Lasch R.
13. Guillaume J. (A)	94. McClennon C.
52. Lamarche M. (A)	6. Nesa V.
21. Leborgne K.	44. Paquette J.
9. Mongo Y.	11. Perret T.
91. Morin P.	18. Rech A.
76. Rambelo A.	91. Ritz N. (A)
14. Tomasino Q.	5. Roy P.
23. Tournier U.	23. Shalei N.
	21. Simonsen T.
Substitutes
38. Richard G. (G)	31. Castel E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
11:19, 0 - 1, Lamperier L. (G), Lasch R. (A), Shalei N. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
13:08, 0 - 2, Simonsen T. (G), Lasch R. (A), Lafrance S. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 2, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bordeaux won 4.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Bordeaux may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bordeaux has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 50:64 (averaging 2.5:3.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bordeaux against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 20:30 goals (averaging 2:3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Rouen	8	6	0	0	2	25:12	18
7	Bordeaux	8	3	1	0	4	21:19	11

Last Results with these Odds

Bordeaux - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bordeaux GHC
French Ligue Magnus
25.09.26	Bordeaux - Spartiates de Marseille	2:5 ✺
22.09.26	Briançon - Bordeaux	1:2 penalties ✺
18.09.26	Bordeaux - Cergy-Pontoise	3:1 ✺
15.09.26	Anglet - Bordeaux	0:3 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
13.09.26	Bordeaux - HC Plzeň 1929	4:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWL
- Dragons de Rouen
French Ligue Magnus
25.09.26	Rouen - Gap	4:0 ✺
22.09.26	Spartiates de Marseille - Rouen	5:1 ✺
18.09.26	Rouen - Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble	5:1 ✺
15.09.26	Briançon - Rouen	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
05.09.26	Rouen - Dusseldorfer EG	3:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue Magnus
01.04.26	Bordeaux - Rouen	4:3
31.03.26	Bordeaux - Rouen	1:0 penalties
28.03.26	Rouen - Bordeaux	3:5
27.03.26	Rouen - Bordeaux	1:4
01.03.26	Bordeaux - Rouen	2:3
13.01.26	Rouen - Bordeaux	6:2
30.11.25	Rouen - Bordeaux	2:3 penalties

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